你知道的魔鬼:基督教民族主义和意图改变一个人在2020年支持或反对特朗普的投票行为

IF 1.3 1区哲学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Politics and Religion Pub Date : 2021-04-21 DOI:10.1017/S175504832100002X

Samuel L. Perry, Andrew L. Whitehead, Joshua B. Grubbs

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引用次数: 4

摘要

基督教民族主义意识形态是美国人在2016年投票给特朗普的最强预测因素之一，并且在2020年大选之前仍然是投票给他的意向的强大预测因素。这项研究使用国家数据来检验基督教民族主义是否有可能使以前未皈依的人转变为支持特朗普，或者相反，防止对特朗普的背叛。在2016年没有投票给特朗普的美国人中，基督教民族主义增加了他们打算在2020年投票给特朗普的可能性，但这只是那些之前根本没有投票或投票给第三方的人。相反，在2016年投票给特朗普的美国人中，基督教民族主义降低了他们计划投票给民主党或第三党候选人的可能性。因此，基督教民族主义可能会使之前没有在2016年投票给特朗普的美国人在2020年投票给他，并使之前支持特朗普的选民在2020年不考虑其他候选人。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

The Devil That You Know: Christian Nationalism and Intent to Change One's Voting Behavior For or Against Trump in 2020

Abstract Christian nationalist ideology was among the strongest predictors of Americans voting for Trump in 2016 and remained a strong predictor of intent to vote for him prior to the 2020 election. This study uses national data to examine whether Christian nationalism could potentially convert the previously-unconverted to supporting Trump or, conversely, prevent apostatizing from Trump. Among Americans who did not vote for Trump in 2016, Christian nationalism increased the likelihood that they intended to vote for Trump in 2020, but only those who earlier did not vote at all or voted third party. Conversely, among Americans who did vote for Trump in 2016, Christian nationalism reduced the likelihood that they planned on voting for a Democratic or third party candidate. Christian nationalism thus potentially inclined Americans who previously did not vote for Trump in 2016 to vote his way in 2020 and inoculated previous Trump-voters from considering other candidates in 2020.

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来源期刊

Politics and Religion Multiple-

CiteScore

3.00

自引率

13.30%

发文量

审稿时长

8 weeks

期刊介绍： Politics and Religion is an international journal publishing high quality peer-reviewed research on the multifaceted relationship between religion and politics around the world. The scope of published work is intentionally broad and we invite innovative work from all methodological approaches in the major subfields of political science, including international relations, American politics, comparative politics, and political theory, that seeks to improve our understanding of religion’s role in some aspect of world politics. The Editors invite normative and empirical investigations of the public representation of religion, the religious and political institutions that shape religious presence in the public square, and the role of religion in shaping citizenship, broadly considered, as well as pieces that attempt to advance our methodological tools for examining religious influence in political life.