人工神经网络可以用来预测比特币数据吗?

T. Kristensen, Asgeir H. Sognefest
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引用次数: 0

摘要

金融市场是一个复杂的、不断发展的动态系统。由于金融时间序列的不规则性,其预测被认为是一项相当具有挑战性的任务。近年来,人工神经网络在金融领域的应用急剧增加,如模式识别、分类和时间序列预测等。本文的目的是提出这个通用的框架,并试图用它来预测纽约证券交易所四家上市公司的股票收益系列。我们的发现与伯顿·麦基尔(Burton Malkiel)在他的书《漫步华尔街》(A Random Walk Down Wall Street)中的发现不期而遇;没有确凿的证据表明我们提出的模型能比随机漫步模型更好地预测股票收益序列。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can Artificial Neural Networks Be Used to Predict Bitcoin Data?
Financial markets are complex, evolving dynamic systems. Due to their irregularity, financial time series forecasting is regarded as a rather challenging task. In recent years, artificial neural network applications in finance for such tasks as pattern recognition, classification, and time series forecasting have dramatically increased. The objective of this paper is to present this versatile framework and attempt to use it to predict the stock return series of four public-listed companies on the New York Stock Exchange. Our findings coincide with those of Burton Malkiel in his book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street; no conclusive evidence is found that our proposed models can predict the stock return series better than that of a random walk.
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