尼日利亚西南部Ijebu-Ode地区大气温度趋势和变率分析

A. Oluwatobi, O. Oluwakemi
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引用次数: 9

摘要

随着全球变暖持续提高地球的平均温度,热浪变得更加频繁。本研究调查了尼日利亚西南部Ijebu-Ode地区的年平均气温趋势和变率。大气温度的二次数据来自尼日利亚气象局(NIMET) Ijebu-Ode, Ogun州站,覆盖31年。采用参数检验(最小二乘回归)和非参数检验(Mann - Kendall)对数据进行趋势分析,同时采用ttest统计和标准化指数对变异性进行研究。分析结果显示,自1983年以来,气温的时间趋势总体上保持上升趋势。从1991年到2013年,这一增长是渐进的。1984年末至1985年间气温略有下降。此后,逐渐增加一直持续到今天。最小二乘回归和Mann - Kendall检验均显示出显著的增加趋势。鼓励来自政府、个人和合作机构的利益相关者认真对待研究区域和尼日利亚西南部的气候变率问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of trend and variability of atmospheric temperature in Ijebu-Ode, Southwest Nigeria
Heat waves have become more frequent as global warming continues to raise the average temperature of the earth. This study investigated the annual average trend and variability of atmospheric temperature in Ijebu-Ode, Southwest Nigeria. Secondary data of atmospheric air temperature was obtained from the Nigeria Meteorological agency (NIMET) Ijebu-Ode, Ogun state station, which covers thirty-one (31) years. Both parametric (Least Square Regression) and non parametric (Mann Kendall) test was performed on the data to investigate the trends, while variability was investigated using the ttest statistics and standardized index. The analysis of result revealed that temporal air temperature trend has remained generally on the increase since 1983. The increase was gradual between 1991 and 2013. A slight drop in temperature was experienced between the late 1984 and 1985. Thereafter, the gradual increase continued until date. Both least square regression and Mann Kendall test showed that the increasing trend was significant. Stakeholders ranging from government, individuals and cooperate bodies have been encouraged to take the issue of climate variability serious in the study area and Southwest Nigeria in general.
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