核心通货膨胀,季节性调整和衡量潜在趋势。

D. Fenwick
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引用次数: 2

摘要

许多中央银行使用核心通货膨胀指标作为货币政策的操作指南和分析工具。但什么是核心通胀?为什么认为它有用?本文考虑了核心通胀替代指标的概念基础,以及为什么它们被认为是经济中潜在通胀压力的有效指标。回顾了现有的针对一系列理想性质评价各种措施的研究。本文还利用季节调整和对潜在趋势的估计,对比传统的标准统计方法来衡量核心通胀指标的价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Core inflation, seasonal adjustment and measures of the underlying trend.
A number of Central Banks use a measure of core inflation as an operational guide and analytical tool for monetary policy. But what is core inflation and why is it considered useful? This paper considers the conceptual basis underlying alternative measures of core inflation and why they are considered effective indicators of the underlying inflationary pressure in the economy. Existing research evaluating the various measures against a range of ideal properties is reviewed. The paper also gauges the value of the core inflation measures against traditional standard statistical approaches using seasonal adjustment and the estimation of the underlying trend.
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