监禁、就业和收入：动态和差异

IF 2.3 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Review of Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.red.2023.06.007

Grey Gordon, John Bailey Jones, Urvi Neelakantan, Kartik Athreya

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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了监禁、就业和收入的动态变化。我们的隐马尔可夫模型区分了首次监禁和重复监禁、持续性和暂时性非就业和收入风险，并考虑了非响应偏差。我们利用 1979 年全国青年纵向调查（National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979）通过最大似然法对模型进行了估计，并考虑了不同种族、教育水平和性别在监禁率方面的巨大差异。对于拥有高中学历的黑人（白人）男性来说，首次入狱与预期终生收入降低 33%（50%）和就业年数减少 6（10）年有关。在教育程度较低的男性中，监禁和非就业的差异可以解释黑人与白人终生收入差距的一半左右。

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Incarceration, employment, and earnings: Dynamics and differences

We study the dynamics of incarceration, employment, and earnings. Our hidden Markov model distinguishes between first-time and repeat incarceration, between persistent and transitory nonemployment and earnings risks, and accounts for nonresponse bias. We estimate the model via maximum likelihood using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979, accounting for the large differences in incarceration rates by race, education level, and gender. First-time incarceration is associated with 33% (50%) lower expected lifetime earnings and 6 (10) fewer years of employment for Black (White) men with a high school degree. Among less-educated men, differences in incarceration and nonemployment can explain around half the Black-White lifetime earnings gap.

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来源期刊

Review of Economic Dynamics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Review of Economic Dynamics publishes meritorious original contributions to dynamic economics. The scope of the journal is intended to be broad and to reflect the view of the Society for Economic Dynamics that the field of economics is unified by the scientific approach to economics. We will publish contributions in any area of economics provided they meet the highest standards of scientific research.