市场的国际评级机构和方法来评估该国的投资吸引力

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS
Yevhenii Yaskov, V. Smiesova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济学领域的研究结果证明,外国直接投资是世界上任何一个国家经济发展的强大引擎。国民经济中投资量增加的一个重要方面是其投资吸引力。国际货币基金组织(imf)、联合国(United Nations)、世界银行(World Bank)和国际评级机构收集并分析数据,以评估世界各国的投资吸引力。关于国家经济投资吸引力的最全面和系统的信息是由国际评级机构进行的评估提供的。本文旨在以梯级法和综合分析法为基础,对国民经济投资吸引力评价的方法论方法进行实证研究。已经确定的是,形成国际机构评级的方法并不总是透明和明确的。即使是市场领导者在形成评级时也会犯错误,这给投资者带来了重大的经济损失。分析了2017-2021年欧洲评级机构市场的结构和动态。已经确定了其主要领导人和发展特征。明确了由国际评级机构对一国投资吸引力进行评级评估的主要阶段。本文揭示了国际评级机构评估国家投资吸引力的方法论方法的本质和不足,并将国际评级机构的评级方法与其他评估方法进行了比较。作为评级评估的系统工具包,建议使用允许构建级联式评级系统的因子方法。对投资吸引力的评估分为四个层次——政治、法律、制度和经济,以及形成这些层次的因素和指标。每个级联在回归方法的基础上进行分析,形成投资吸引力的总体评级。在对每个级联获得的结果进行评估后,确定其中哪一个对整体评级的影响最大。与其他方法方法相比,这种评估提供的信息更多,因为它可以确定形成投资吸引力评级的最具影响力的一组因素,确定在总体评级评估中价值最大和最低的级联,并分析受援国在经济、法律、体制和政治领域的优势和劣势。作者提供了一个将提出的方法方法应用于假设国家的例子,并开发了一种算法,用于分析这些国家背景下被调查对象的投资吸引力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE MARKET OF INTERNATIONAL RATING AGENCIES AND APPROACHES TO ASSESSING THE INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS OF THE COUNTRY
The research findings in the domain of economics prove that foreign direct investment is a powerful engine of the development of the economy of any country in the world. One of the important aspects of the increase in the volume of investments in the national economy is its investment attractiveness. The International Monetary Fund, the United Nations, the World Bank, and international rating agencies collect and analyze data to examine the investment attractiveness of the world’s countries. The most comprehensive and systematic information on the investment attractiveness of national economies is provided by assessments conducted by international rating agencies. The article is aimed at substantiation of the methodological approach to the assessment of the investment attractiveness of the national economy based on the cascade method and comprehensive analysis. It has been established that the methodology for forming the rating of international agencies is not always transparent and clear. Even market leaders make mistakes when forming ratings, which leads to significant financial losses for investors. The structure and dynamics of the European rating agencies market in 2017-2021 have been analysed. Its main leaders and development features have been identified. The main stages of the rating assessment of the country’s investment attractiveness, which is carried out by international rating agencies, have been defined. The article reveals the essence and shortcomings of methodological approaches to the assessment of the investment attractiveness of countries by international rating agencies and provides a comparison of the rating methodology of international agencies with alternative assessment methods. As a methodical toolkit for rating assessment, it is proposed to use factor methods that allow building a cascade-type system of ratings. Four cascades of assessment of investment attractiveness are specified – political, legal, institutional, and economic, as well as factors and indicators that shape them. Each cascade is analysed on the basis of the regression approach and forms an overall rating of investment attractiveness. After evaluating the obtained results for each cascade, it is determined which of them has the greatest impact on the overall rating. Such an assessment is more informative compared to other methodological approaches as it allows to identify the most influential group of factors in the formation of investment attractiveness rating, determine the cascades, that have the greatest and least value in the overall rating assessment, and analyse strengths and weaknesses in the economic, legal, institutional, and political spheres of the recipient country. The authors have provided an example of the application of the proposed methodological approach to hypothetical countries and developed an algorithm for analysing the investment attractiveness of the investigated object in the context of these countries.
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来源期刊
EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW
EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW ECONOMICS-
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