信息通信技术跨越式发展与南亚区域合作联盟经济体的经济增长:来自矩分位数回归方法的证据

IF 3 4区管理学 Q1 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE

Journal of Global Information Technology Management Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI:10.1080/1097198X.2022.2094184

Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, A. Jamal, L. Adam, T. Oyedepo

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引用次数: 6

摘要

信息通信技术“跨越式”是指发展中经济体采用技术来启动其发展议程。本研究将2030年联合国可持续发展目标8定位为2000年至2020年期间八个南盟经济体(阿富汗、不丹、孟加拉国、印度、马尔代夫、尼泊尔、巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡)的跨越式假设。我们使用实际人均GDP和四个ICT指标(移动电话、固定电话、固定宽带和互联网用户)的不平衡面板数据来检验这一假设是否成立。我们采用了面板空间相关一致性(PSCC)和矩分位数回归(MM-QR)技术。MM-QR提供了比PSCC更可靠的结果，因为它考虑了被低估的条件异质性问题。普遍的共识是，ICT(单项指标和综合指数)对经济增长的正向影响在统计学上显著，且主要在1%的水平上。然而，MM-QR显示:(1)手机和综合指数模型的跨越假设成立;(2)假设仅在固定宽带模型的下分位数成立;(3)手机的跨越式增长效应最大，分别为0.034%、0.052%、0.082%和0.099%。讨论了政策建议。

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ICT Leapfrogging and Economic Growth Among SAARC Economies: Evidence From Method of Moments Quantile Regression

ABSTRACT ICT “leapfrogging” is when developing economies adopt the use of technology to jump-start their development agenda. This study positions the 2030 United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 8 to test the leapfrogging hypothesis on eight SAARC economies (Afghanistan, Bhutan, Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) from 2000 to 2020. We examine if the hypothesis holds using an unbalanced panel data on real per capita GDP and four ICT indicators (mobile phones, fixed telephones, fixed broadband, and Internet users). We deploy panel spatial correlation consistent (PSCC) and method of moments quantile regression (MM-QR) techniques. The MM-QR offers more reliable results than PSCC because it takes into account the conditional heterogeneity issues that are understated. The general consensus indicates that ICT (individual indicators and composite index) exerts a statistically significant positive effect on economic growth mostly at the 1% level. However, the MM-QR reveals that: (1) the leapfrogging hypothesis holds for mobile phones and composite index models; (2) the hypothesis holds only at the lower quantiles of fixed broadband model; and (3) mobile phones show the largest increasing leapfrogging effect of 0.034%, 0.052%, 0.082%, and 0.099%, respectively. Policy recommendations are discussed.

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来源期刊

Journal of Global Information Technology Management INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-

CiteScore

4.10

自引率

10.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Global Information Technology Management (JGITM) is a refereed international journal that is supported by Global IT scholars from all over the world. JGITM publishes articles related to all aspects of the application of information technology for international business. The journal also considers a variety of methodological approaches and encourages manuscript submissions from authors all over the world, both from academia and industry. In addition, the journal will also include reviews of MIS books that have bearing on global aspects. Practitioner input will be specifically solicited from time-to-time in the form of invited columns or interviews. Besides quality work, at a minimum each submitted article should have the following three components: an MIS (Management Information Systems) topic, an international orientation (e.g., cross cultural studies or strong international implications), and evidence (e.g., survey data, case studies, secondary data, etc.). Articles in the Journal of Global Information Technology Management include, but are not limited to: -Cross-cultural IS studies -Frameworks/models for global information systems (GIS) -Development, evaluation and management of GIS -Information Resource Management -Electronic Commerce -Privacy & Security -Societal impacts of IT in developing countries -IT and Economic Development -IT Diffusion in developing countries -IT in Health Care -IT human resource issues -DSS/EIS/ES in international settings -Organizational and management structures for GIS -Transborder data flow issues -Supply Chain Management -Distributed global databases and networks -Cultural and societal impacts -Comparative studies of nations -Applications and case studies