约旦外交政策中的淡水稀缺、相互依赖和制度主义:走向冲突还是合作

I. El-Anis
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摘要

约旦和中东北非其他国家面临的最紧迫的安全和发展挑战之一是淡水短缺。约旦和该地区除土耳其和伊朗外的其他国家一样,无法获得足够的可再生淡水。以对这一资源的分歧、争端和暴力冲突为形式的国际冲突已成为本区域国际关系的非常现实的方面。然而,国家之间在共享资源方面的合作也出现了,本文试图通过考虑约旦与以色列和叙利亚关系中与淡水短缺问题相关的相互依存和国际机构的重要性,探索进一步合作的前景。根据资源稀缺和制度主义理论,本文探讨了经济相互依存和参与国际机构的水平是否影响了约旦与其邻国之间的双边合作。为了更好地了解该地区其他国家的淡水短缺、冲突与合作问题,约旦是一个很好的案例研究。通过研究两个重要的国际项目(约旦-叙利亚在耶尔穆克河上建造韦德赫大坝的项目和约旦-以色列(-巴勒斯坦)在其共同边界上建造红海-死海管道项目的项目),本文发现双边经济相互依存程度和机构参与程度会影响在共享淡水资源管理方面的双边合作潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Freshwater Scarcity, Interdependence and Institutionalism in Jordanian Foreign Policy: Towards Conflict or Cooperation
One of the most pressing security and development challenges faced by Jordan and other states in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is freshwater scarcity. Jordan, like all but two states in the region (Turkey and Iran), does not have access to sufficient amounts of renewable freshwater. International conflicts, in the forms of disagreements, disputes and violent conflict over this resource have emerged as very real aspects of the international relations of this region. Cooperation between states over shared resources has also emerged, however, and this paper seeks to explore the prospects for further cooperation by considering the importance of interdependence and international institutions in relation to freshwater scarcity issues in Jordan's relations with Israel and Syria. Drawing upon theories of resource scarcity and institutionalism this paper explores if levels of economic interdependence and engagement in international institutions have impacted bilateral cooperation between Jordan and its neighbours. Jordan represents a good case study in order to better understand the issue of freshwater scarcity, conflict and cooperation for other states in the region. By examining two key international projects (the Jordanian-Syrian project to build the Wehdeh Dam on the Yarmouk River and the Jordanian-Israeli(-Palestinian) project to build the Red Sea-Dead Sea Conduit project on their shared border) this paper finds that levels of bilateral economic interdependence and institutional engagement can impact the potential for bilateral cooperation in the management of shared freshwater sources.
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