世界各地区数字领域对外贸易发展比较分析

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
L. Shkvarya, E. D. Frolova
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在数字化的影响下,对外贸易呈现出新的特点,对外贸易的发展导致了世界地区的重新分配。本文旨在揭示外贸数字领域的具体特征和新兴趋势,并确定领先地区和成功因素。在这种情况下,数字部分包括信息通信技术设备和信息通信技术服务贸易。使用外贸结构和比较分析的方法检查了2000-2019年贸发会议的统计数据。我们假设外贸数字化部分存在不同的发展阶段,并以领先地区的变化为特征。特别指出了外贸数字化部分发展的三次浪潮,对应着不同的特点。在第三次浪潮中,数字营业额的增长率保持不变,但其在全球总营业额中的份额有所下降。据透露,在一个地区的国家中,数字部分的份额高于商品贸易的份额。亚太地区取代美国(从第一波的第一名上升到第五名)成为领先地区。专门从事信息通信技术设备出口的中国以27.1%的数字出口份额位居榜首,20年来增长了15.9倍。专门从事信息通信技术服务出口的俄罗斯,在该领域排名接近前50名的末尾;对外贸易也出现了负增长。所获得的发现可以为制定俄罗斯对外数字贸易战略的专家提供有用的信息。为了提高包括俄罗斯在内的各国经济在外贸数字领域的潜力,应进一步研究如何防止它们落后于领先者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparative Analysis of Foreign Trade Development in the Digital Segment by World Regions
Foreign trade, affected by digitalisation, acquired new features, while its development led to a new redistribution of world regions. The present article aims to reveal specific features and emerging trends in the digital segment of foreign trade and identify leading regions and success factors. In this case, the digital segment includes ICT-equipment and ICT-services trade. UNCTAD statistics for 2000–2019 were examined using the methodology of foreign trade structural and comparative analysis. We hypothesise that there are different development stages in the digital segment of foreign trade characterised by changes of leading regions. In particular, three waves in the development of the digital segment of foreign trade, corresponding to different characteristics, were identified. In the third wave, the growth rate of digital turnover remained the same but its share in the total global turnover decreased. It was revealed that the share of the digital segment is higher than the share of merchandise trade in the countries of one region. Asia-Pacific Region replaced the USA (that moved from the 1st place in the first wave to the 5th position) as the leading region. China, specialising in the export of ICT-equipment, came out on top with the 27.1 % share of digital exports in the country’s total exports, increasing by 15.9 times in 20 years. Russia, whose specialisation is the export of ICT-services, is closer to the end of the top 50 ranking of countries in this segment; its negative foreign trade balance was also revealed. The obtained findings can be useful for specialists developing the foreign digital trade strategy of Russia. In order to increase the potential of national economies, including Russia, in the digital segment of foreign trade, further research should focus on ways to prevent their lagging behind the leaders.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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