复合方法:一种新的、基于连续体的方法来估计女性耻骨联合的年龄,与成熟的成年人特别相关

IF 1.4 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, LEGAL
J. Truesdell
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然有无数有效的技术可以帮助估计40岁及以下的人的联合神经年龄,但很少有技术能对超过40岁的人提供类似的疗效。通过一项新技术的应用,本研究试图确定对退行性改变的更密切检查是否有助于提高骺后成人年龄估计的精度。结果表明,结合五个不同的兴趣区域,加上对密度的校正,对50名在世的英国女性子集准确估计了87.75%的年龄(四个观察者的平均值[差值:72-100%])。校正后的R2值为0.85,RSME值为5.62年,PCC值为0.92也证实了该试验技术对于整个较大女性样本(n = 533)是一个很好的年龄预测器。低不准确性(3.86年)和偏差(0.69年)进一步表明,基于连续体的方法,没有预先设定的阶段或范围,如本研究所使用的方法,具有至少与当前可用方法一样有效的潜力,但具有允许个体水平上增加变化的额外优势。通过线性回归的年龄估计,或者通过简单的加法,分别产生了22-23岁和24岁的估计范围(间隔),它仍然足够窄,可以在法医上有用,同时仍然足够宽,可以在成年人中最大限度地提高准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Composite Method: A Novel, Continuum-Based Approach to Estimating Age from the Female Pubic Symphysis with Particular Relevance to Mature Adults
While a myriad of effective techniques exist to aid in symphyseal age estimation for those 40 years and younger, few offer similar levels of efficacy for those beyond that threshold. Through the application of a novel technique, this study sought to determine whether a closer inspection of degenerative change may help to improve precision in age estimation for post-epiphyseal adults. Results show that the combination of five distinct areas of interest, plus a correction for density, accurately estimated age 87.75% of the time (averaged amongst four observers [spread: 72–100%]) for a subset of 50 living British females. An adjusted R2 value of 0.85, an RSME value of 5.62 years, and a PCC value of 0.92 also confirmed the trialed technique to be a good predictor of age for the entirety of the larger female sample (n = 533). Low inaccuracy (3.86 years) and Bias (0.69 years) further indicate that a continuum-based approach, without pre-set phases or ranges, such as was utilized by this research holds the potential to be at least as effective as the currently available methodologies but with the added advantage of allowing for increased variation at the individual level. Age estimation by linear regression, or by simple addition, yielded estimation envelopes (intervals) of 22–23 and 24 years, respectively, which remain narrow enough to be forensically useful while still wide enough to maximize accuracy in mature adults.
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来源期刊
Forensic Sciences Research
Forensic Sciences Research MEDICINE, LEGAL-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
7.70%
发文量
158
审稿时长
26 weeks
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