融合与权力分享:缅甸和平进程中武装非国家行为体的未来选择是什么?

IF 0.6 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
H. Kyed, M. Gravers
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在缅甸资源丰富的边境地区,政府军与大约20个少数民族武装非国家行为体(ANSAs)发生了60多年的武装冲突,缅甸面临着充满争议的和平进程。尽管2015年10月8个安莎组织签署了全国停火协议(NCA),但其他组织没有签署,一些地区的战斗仍在继续。一个关键的争议是对ANSAs未来政治和经济地位的不安全感,以及对军队对和平承诺的不信任。在本文中,我们讨论了ANSA成员的五种重新融合选择,不仅包括经济一体化,还包括融入政党、地方政府、民间社会组织和安全部门。我们认为,传统的复员方案在缅甸是不现实的,因为安莎军强烈反对在达成对联邦制的深远政治解决方案之前进行任何解除武装和复员。这就需要更灵活地安排DDR的顺序,从重返社会选择或所谓的RDD开始。此外,重新融入社会的努力不应仅仅是技术性的工作,而应牢牢地纳入分门别类的权力分享保障,包括对地方一级的安安局低级和中级成员的保障。这不仅将支持更持久的和平,而且有助于在和平进程中建立更多信任。我们以考虑国际社会的作用来结束这篇文章。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integration and Power-Sharing: What are the Future Options for Armed Non-State Actors in the Myanmar Peace Process?
Myanmar is confronted with a contested peace process after over six decades of armed conflict between the national army and around 20 ethnic Armed Non-State Actors (ANSAs) in the country’s resource rich borderlands. Although a Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) was signed by eight ANSAs in October 2015, other groups have not, and fighting continues in some areas. A key controversy is insecurity about the future political and economic positions of the ANSAs, along with mistrust in the army’s commitment to peace. In this article we discuss five re-integration options for ANSA members, including not only economic integration, but also integration into political parties, local government, civil society organisations and the security sector. We argue that conventional DDR programming is unrealistic in Myanmar, because the ANSAs are strongly opposed to any disarmament and demobilization before a far reaching political settlement towards federalism is reached. This calls for a more flexible sequencing of DDR that begins with reintegration options or what has been called RDD. In addition, reintegration efforts should not only be technical exercises, but be firmly embedded in disaggregated power-sharing guarantees, including for lower- and middle-ranking ANSA members at the local level. This will not only support more sustainable peace, but also help build more trust in the peace process. We conclude the article by considering the role of the international community.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
3
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Stability: International Journal of Security & Development is a fundamentally new kind of journal. Open-access, it publishes research quickly and free of charge in order to have a maximal impact upon policy and practice communities. It fills a crucial niche. Despite the allocation of significant policy attention and financial resources to a perceived relationship between development assistance, security and stability, a solid evidence base is still lacking. Research in this area, while growing rapidly, is scattered across journals focused upon broader topics such as international development, international relations and security studies. Accordingly, Stability''s objective is to: Foster an accessible and rigorous evidence base, clearly communicated and widely disseminated, to guide future thinking, policymaking and practice concerning communities and states experiencing widespread violence and conflict. The journal will accept submissions from a wide variety of disciplines, including development studies, international relations, politics, economics, anthropology, sociology, psychology and history, among others. In addition to focusing upon large-scale armed conflict and insurgencies, Stability will address the challenge posed by local and regional violence within ostensibly stable settings such as Mexico, Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia and elsewhere.
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