危机时期移民制度的空间转换

Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.21638/spbu07.2023.102
M. M. Agafoshin, S. Gorokhov, R. Dmitriev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文致力于确定危机时期移民系统的功能特征,其特征是被迫移民流动的广泛增加。以“亚洲阿拉伯国家-欧盟”移民体系为例,分析了欧洲移民危机事件。迁移系统的转变是在作者提出的传统迁移过程三阶段模型的地理变异框架内考虑的。第一个阶段是探索迁移流形成区域内的运动,第二个阶段是研究迁移流形成区域和过境区域内迁移流聚集区域之间的运动,第三个阶段是研究迁移流聚集区域内的运动。与非危机时期相比,被迫移民人数的迅速增加导致其在每个阶段的流动特征发生变化,并扩大了移民系统的空间。同时,由于形成了主要和次要的运输区域,并且在其范围内形成了单分支和多分支的迁移路线,使得系统结构变得复杂。修正分馏指数(MFI)的结果表明,在危机时期,移民路线的多样化程度显著下降。移民在集聚区域内分布的结果是其地域集中度的增加。欧洲当局在重新安置移民方面平衡领土差异的政策几乎没有取得成功。由于自我组织的流动,移徙者进一步集中在最大的城市群,导致对移徙人口的种族和宗教排斥加剧。
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Spatial transformation of the migration system during the crisis
The article devotes to identify the features of the functioning of migration systems in crisis periods characterized by extensive increase of forced migrants' flows. The events of the European migration crisis are analyzed in the case of “Arab countries of Asia - The European Union” migration system. The transformation of the migration system is considered within the framework of geographical variant of the traditional three–stage model of migration process proposed by the authors. The first stage are explored the movements within the region of migration flows formations are explored, the second – the movements between the regions of the formation and accumulation of migration flows within transit regions, the third – the movements within the region of the accumulation of migration flows. Quick increase the number of forced migrants leads to changes in their flow characteristics at each stage, as well as to the expansion of the space of the migration system – compared with that in non-crisis periods. At the same time, there is a complication of the system's structure due to the formation of not only primary and secondary transit regions, but also mono- and poly-branched migration routes within their limits. The findings of the Modified Fractionalization Index (MFI) indicate about a significant decrease in the degree of diversification of migration routes during crisis periods. The result of the distribution of migrants within the region of accumulation is an increase of their territorial concentration. The policy of the European authorities to equalize territorial disparities in the resettlement of migrants has had almost no success. A further increase in the concentration of migrants in the largest urban agglomerations resulting from self-organized movements leads to an aggravation of the ethnic and confessional exclusion of the migrant population.
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