Arif Munandar Harahap, Yeniwati Yeniwati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在分析影响印尼可可粉出口到中国的因素。本研究使用的数据是2008年M01至2019年M04的时间序列数据。数据来自国际货币基金组织(IMF)、国际商业发展贸易统计(trademap.org)、印尼农业部和国际可可组织(ICCO)。本研究采用ECM分析模型进行定量研究。结果表明,国际可可豆价格和工业生产指数对可可粉出口有正向影响,但国际可可豆价格变量在短期和长期均不显著。另一方面,汇率变量对印尼可可粉对中国出口的长期负面影响较大,短期正面影响较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Faktor – Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Cocoa Powder Indonesia Ke China
This study aims to analyze the factors that influence Indonesia's cocoa powder exports to China. The data used in this study is time series data from 2008 M01 to 2019 M04. Data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), trade statistics for international business development (trademap.org), the Indonesian ministry of agriculture, and the international cocoa organization (ICCO). This research is quantitative research with an ECM analysis model. The results showed that the international cocoa bean price and industrial production index had a positive effect on cocoa powder exports, but the international cocoa bean price variable was not significant in both the short and long term. On the other hand, the exchange rate variable has a large negative impact on Indonesia's cocoa powder exports to China in the long term and a small positive impact in the short term.
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