终结全球变暖——让它下雨

William A. Van Brunt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的40年里,由于主要温室气体——水蒸气的全球平均浓度增加了15%,大气的潜在加热功率增加,全球平均温度上升了1°C,灾难性风暴的风险增加了两倍。随着全球平均水汽浓度继续以每年0.4%的速度增长,全球平均气温以每十年0.2°C的速度上升,全球变暖和灾难性风暴的风险只会加剧。随着大气潜热功率的增加,到2019年,灾难性天气相关事件的年数量增加到750多起,比1980年225起的基线高出525起。1980年以来,这些与天气有关的灾难性事件夺去了数万人的生命,摧毁了整个社区,同时在全球范围内造成了4.6万亿美元的累计损失,其中2.4万亿美元是全球变暖导致大气潜热功率增加的结果,主要天气相关事件与全球平均温度记录的密切相关(相关系数为0.84)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
To Bring an End to Global Warming -Make it Rain
Over the last 40 years, the average global temperature has risen by 1°C and the catastrophic storm risk has tripled, as the latent heating power of the atmosphere grew, driven by the 15% increase in the average global concentration of the primary greenhouse gas, water vapor. Global warming and the catastrophic storm risk only worsen as the average global concentration of water vapor continues to increase at 0.4% yr.-1driving the average global temperature up at 0.2°C per decade. As the latent heating power of the atmosphere rose, the annual number of catastrophic, weather-related events increased to over 750, by 2019, 525 above the 1980 baseline of 225 annual events. Since 1980, these weather-related catastrophic events have taken tens of thousands of lives, wiped out whole communities while wreaking4.6 trillion dollars in cumulative worldwide weather-related destruction, of which 2.4 trillion dollars is the result of global warming driven increasing atmospheric latent heating power, as shown by the close correlation of major weather-related events with the average global temperature record (correlation coefficient 0.84).
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