展望2020年粮食供需平衡

V. Thorat, S. Sirohi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

粮食需求和供应预测对于确保未来供需平衡的农业政策参数至关重要。几项研究使用不同的假设预测了粮食需求和供应。鉴于这些估计对所使用的假设的敏感性,不同研究人员对该国粮食安全状况的预测和推论存在很大差异。本文综合了2020年粮食需求和供应预测的经验证据,得出结论认为,在不久的将来,该国的供需平衡将不会很舒适。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reviewing Demand–Supply Balance of Foodgrains by 2020
The demand and supply projections of foodgrain are vital for agricultural policy parameters to ensure future supply–demand balances. Several studies have forecasted foodgrain demand and supply using varied assumptions. Given the sensitivity of these estimates to the assumptions used, there are wide variations in the projections made by various researchers and inferences about the status of food security in the country. The paper synthesizes the empirical evidence on demand and supply projections of foodgrains at 2020 and concludes that the supply–demand balance would not be very comfortable in the country in the near future.
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