METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH TO THE ASSESSMENT OF FACTORS OF CHEMICAL PRODUCTION (ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE CARBON DIOXIDE MARKET)

Since the activity of industrial enterprises is influenced by many factors, it becomes necessary to assess this influence by methods of statistical analysis and economic and mathematical modeling. To take into account the many factors that affect the activities of chemical companies, it is advisable to use the methods of multiple correlation and regression analysis, which allows us to evaluate not only internal and external causeand-effect relationships, but also to study the development features and trends in the development of chemical companies and the resulting attribute. When constructing a correlation-regression model, the following requirements were met in the work: required number of factors that have a quantitative assessment for the analyzed market has a monthly distribution for January. 2019-Oct.2020; a sufficient amount of factor signs (the number of observations is almost 3 times higher than the number of factors); the totality of the studied factor characteristics is homogeneous. The purpose of this article is to develop a methodological approach to assessing the factors of production of chemical products. The article presents a step-by-step description of the algorithm, with the help of which it is proposed to evaluate the factors influencing the performance of chemical products. The following stages of the algorithm for assessing the factors of production of chemical products are identified: the formation of an information base for the study, the construction of a correlation matrix, the compilation of a predictive regression equation, the assessment of the statistical significance of the parameters of the obtained regression equation, and the development of proposals for achieving the predictive values of the resultant attribute. The research methodology proposed in the article makes it possible to identify factors in the development of specific chemical products, as well as to predict key indicators that affect the production of products. The practical significance of the study lies in the fact that the considered approach to forecasting the development of the market for chemical products makes it possible to determine the specific values of quantitative indicators that affect the volume of production of a particular type of chemical product. Approbation of the proposed approach was carried out on the example of the carbon dioxide (carbon dioxide) market. The results obtained confirm that the constructed model can be used to analyze and predict the main performance indicators of chemical companies.