从理论到大战略:评估2001-2018年美国在阿拉伯的目标

A. Al-Barasneh
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摘要

该研究旨在从三个相互交叉的层面对美国在海湾地区的目标和政策提供总体理解;战略利益、地区安全和政治改革。本研究以2001年至2018年布什、奥巴马和特朗普政府期间美国与阿拉伯的互动为例进行研究。此外,本研究试图通过研究系统因素和国内因素之间的相互作用,对推动美国国际政治和随后对阿拉伯海湾国家政策的动力有更深入的了解。值得注意的是,在大约70年的时间里,美国与阿拉伯海湾国家之间根深蒂固的重要持久利益依赖于保护该地区石油源源不断地流入国际经济,向海湾阿拉伯人出售武器,并维护海湾地区的安全,使其免受任何实际或潜在的威胁。因此,布什政府、奥巴马政府和特朗普政府通过在该地区的前沿军事存在来维护海湾安全的战略与他们的前任没有什么不同。因此,作者运用新现实主义理论来理解美国与海湾国家的互动。值得注意的是,尽管一些学者认为布什和特朗普领导下的美国政策与美国的传统政策大相径庭,但该研究认为并得出结论,美国对阿拉伯的实际政策反映了一种维护共同利益的传统政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FROM THEORY TO GRAND STRATEGY: ASSESSING US GOALS IN ARABIA 2001-2018
The study seeks to provide an overarching understanding to the US objectives and policies in the Gulf region at three intersecting levels; strategic interests, regional security and political reform. This study takes United States interactions with Arabia, as a case study, during the period 2001-2018 under the administrations of G.W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump. Additionally, the study attempts to generate greater understanding of the dynamics that motivating American international politics and subsequent policies toward the Arab gulf countries through examining the interactions between both systematic and domestic factors. Noticeably, US entrenched vital enduring interests with the Arab Gulf States rested, for approximately seventy years, on protecting oil flow from the region into international economy without interruption, selling arms to the Gulf Arabs and maintaining gulf regional security against any real or potential threats. Therefore, the administrations of Bush, Obama, and Trump were not different from their predecessors in their strategy of preserving gulf security through forward military presence in the region. Hence, the author employs the neorealist theory to understand US interactions with the Gulf countries. Remarkably, despite some scholar's arguments that envisaged the US policies under G.W. Bush and Donald Trump as departed drastically from US conventional policy, the study argues and concludes that the US actual policy towards Arabia reflects a traditional policy of maintaining mutual interests.
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