亚太货币对美元的长期记忆特征及关系稳定性

A. Sankarkumar, M. Selvam, Marxia Oli Sigo
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究考察了13种亚太地区货币(澳元、人民币、港币、印度卢比、印尼卢比、日元、韩元、马来西亚林吉特、新西兰元、菲律宾比索、新加坡元、台币和泰铢)对美元在14年间(2001年1月2日至2014年12月10日)的汇率行为、长期记忆特征和长期稳定性。本研究采用描述性统计、ADF和PP检验、Hurst指数协整模型和图形等方法,考察样本货币对美元的正态性、平稳性、长记忆特征和长期关系稳定性。本研究确定了第一个窗口(1000个观测值)和第二个窗口(2500个观测值)的赫斯特指数值。本研究为长期记忆特征和关系稳定性的存在提供了重要证据。本研究结果将有助于投资者、汇率贸易政策制定者、出口商和进口商对商品和服务的投资、出口和进口做出决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Long Memory Features and Relationship Stability of Asia-Pacific Currencies Against USD
This research study examines the behavior of currency rate, long memory features, and long-term stability in the returns of thirteen Asia-Pacific currencies (AUD, CNY, HKD, INR, IDR, JPY, KRW, MYR, NZD, PHP, SGD, TWD, and THB) against USD over a period of fourteen years (from 2nd January 2001 to 10th December 2014). The study uses descriptive statistics, ADF and PP test, Hurst exponent co-integration model, and figures to investigate the normality, stationarity, long memory features, and long-term relationship stability of sample currencies against USD. This study determined the values of the Hurst Exponent for the first window with 1,000 observations and the second window with 2,500 observations. This study provides significant evidence for the presence of long memory features and relationship stability. The findings of this study would help investors, exchange rate trade policy makers, exporters, and importers to make decisions on the investment, export, and import of goods and services.
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