印尼大蒜进口需求趋势分析

Pesta Purba, Ellys Yuliarti, K. Sukiyono
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在了解印尼大蒜进口需求的发展模式和趋势。观察大蒜进口的格局和趋势,将为今后国内大蒜发展的项目规划、项目评估和政策制定活动提供宝贵的信息。本研究中使用的数据是1995年至2019年印度尼西亚每年对大蒜进口的需求。采用了线性、二次和指数三种趋势方法。通过检查MAD、MES、ME和MAPE值来确定最佳趋势。根据这项研究,印度尼西亚大蒜进口需求的最佳趋势模型是指数上升趋势。随着印度尼西亚大蒜消费量和国内大蒜产量的增加,印度尼西亚大蒜进口需求的趋势也在增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Garlic Import Demand Trend in Indonesia
This research aims to find out the development patterns and trends in import demand for garlic in Indonesia. Observing the pattern and trend of garlic imports will provide invaluable information for program planning, program evaluation, and policy development activities for domestic garlic development in the future. The data used in this study is the annual demand for garlic imports in Indonesia from 1995-2019. Three trend methods are applied including linear, quadratic, and exponential methods. The best trend was determined by examining the MAD, MES, ME, and MAPE values. The best trend model for garlic import demand in Indonesia, according to this study, is an ascending exponential trend. The trend of garlic import demands in Indonesia increases along with the increase of garlic consumption and domestic garlic production in Indonesia.
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