建立气候情景下葡萄产量预测模型及病害管理

Eswari A, Subbiah A, Duraisamy M R, M. K
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作物的发育和产量都受天气的影响。本文建立了葡萄通用农业气候产量预测模型,并对其进行了解析求解。在数学生物学领域,这个模型对研究学者、教员和学者来说是有价值的。为了得到产量预测模型的最终形式,进行了渐近分析。在模型创建过程中,气候、疾病和葡萄产量都是依赖参数。独立特征包括侵染率、发病率、季节性率和每个采收期的葡萄产量脱除率。还对模型进行了检查,并使用2015-2021年期间GRS的现场数据估计了参数。在浓度曲线上,讨论了各参数的影响。并对该模型的稳定性分析进行了说明。得到的解析解与数值和稳定性研究结果吻合较好
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Developing Yield Prediction model for Grapes under Climatic Scenario Along with Disease Management
Crop development and yield are both influenced by the weather. A generic agro-climatic yield prediction model for grape is created and analytically solved in this research. In the field of mathematical biology, this model is valuable for research scholars, faculty members, and academics. To acquire the final form of the yield prediction model, an asymptotic analysis is performed. Climate, disease, and grape yield are all dependent parameters in the model creation process. Independent characteristics include infection rate, disease incidence, seasonality rate, and removal rate of grape production per harvest period. The model is also examined, with parameters estimated using field data from GRS during the period 2015-2021.On concentration curves, the impacts of various parameters are discussed. This model's stability analysis is also explained. The obtained analytical solution is found to be in satisfactory agreement with the numerical and stability studies
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