社会网络对投票决策的影响:对厄瓜多尔选民的探索性调查

D. B. Ibáñez, C. A. Calderón, Jesús Arroyave, Roxana Silva
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引用次数: 6

摘要

互联网的普及和社交媒体的采用,给政治和公共领域的管理方式带来了重大变化。有大量的科学文献证实了新媒体的使用与选举政治参与之间的关系(Willnat et al ., 2013);李、申,2014;Ceron et al ., 2014。本研究的目的是确定使用社交网络影响投票决定的机制。2013年上半年,共有3535名厄瓜多尔公民参与了一项探索性调查。作者对问卷所包含的测量方法和量表进行了效度和信度检验;他们使用了一个有调节的中介模型,Hayes, 2013,基于回归。结果表明,使用社交网络对投票决策的积极影响不是直接给出的,而是通过信息搜索和政治审议的需要。在这一中介过程中,间接效应反过来被年龄负向调节,在年轻人中效果更强。有人认为,尽管网络可能对选民的行为产生影响,但与以更传统的方式(如广播或电视)搜索政治信息相关的传统因素似乎具有更显著的影响。作者解释了理论和实践意义。最后,他们解决了该研究在样本代表性方面的局限性,并建议在其他政治和文化背景下测试该模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Influence of Social Networks in the Decision to Vote: An Exploratory Survey on the Ecuadorian Electorate
The popularization of the Internet and the adoption of social media have brought major changes in the way of doing politics and managing the public arena. There is extensive scientific literature confirming the relationship between the use of new media and electoral political participation Willnat et al, 2013; Lee and Shin, 2014; Ceron et al, 2014.. The aim of this study is to determine the mechanism by which using social networks influences the decision to vote. Ecuadorian citizens n= 3,535 took part in an exploratory survey during the first half of 2013. The authors tested the measures and scales included in the questionnaire for validity and reliability; and they used a moderated mediation model Hayes, 2013 based on regression. Results show that positive influence of using social networks on the decision to vote is not given directly, but rather through the search for information and need for political deliberation. In this mediation process, the indirect effect is in turn negatively moderated by age the effect is stronger in young people. It is argued that despite the influence that networks may have on the behavior of voters, traditional factors related to the search for political information in more conventional means e.g. radio or TV seem to have a more significant effect. The authors explain both theoretical and practical implications. Finally, they address the study's limitations regarding the representativeness of the sample and suggest testing the model in other political and cultural contexts.
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