普京领导下的俄罗斯何时走向战争?

Q3 Social Sciences

Orbis Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.orbis.2021.11.005

Simon Saradzhyan

{"title":"普京领导下的俄罗斯何时走向战争?","authors":"Simon Saradzhyan","doi":"10.1016/j.orbis.2021.11.005","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article examines how seven potential drivers of the Russian Federation’s military interventions played out in seven instances in which Vladimir Putin was likely to have deliberated on whether or not to use military force in foreign countries, including three instances in which the Russian leader ultimately decided to intervene and four instances in which he did not. The article contends that carefully reviewing these historical episodes could help predict Putin’s military actions in the future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45433,"journal":{"name":"Orbis","volume":"66 1","pages":"Pages 35-57"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"When Does Putin’s Russia March Off to War?\",\"authors\":\"Simon Saradzhyan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.orbis.2021.11.005\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This article examines how seven potential drivers of the Russian Federation’s military interventions played out in seven instances in which Vladimir Putin was likely to have deliberated on whether or not to use military force in foreign countries, including three instances in which the Russian leader ultimately decided to intervene and four instances in which he did not. The article contends that carefully reviewing these historical episodes could help predict Putin’s military actions in the future.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45433,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Orbis\",\"volume\":\"66 1\",\"pages\":\"Pages 35-57\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Orbis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003043872100065X\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Social Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Orbis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S003043872100065X","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了在弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)可能考虑过是否在外国使用武力的七种情况下，俄罗斯联邦军事干预的七个潜在驱动因素是如何发挥作用的，其中包括俄罗斯领导人最终决定干预的三种情况和他没有干预的四种情况。文章认为，仔细回顾这些历史事件有助于预测普京未来的军事行动。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

When Does Putin’s Russia March Off to War?

This article examines how seven potential drivers of the Russian Federation’s military interventions played out in seven instances in which Vladimir Putin was likely to have deliberated on whether or not to use military force in foreign countries, including three instances in which the Russian leader ultimately decided to intervene and four instances in which he did not. The article contends that carefully reviewing these historical episodes could help predict Putin’s military actions in the future.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Orbis SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

1.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

37 days

期刊介绍： Orbis, the Foreign Policy Research Institute quarterly journal of world affairs, was founded in 1957 as a forum for policymakers, scholars, and the informed public who sought an engaging, thought-provoking debate beyond the predictable, conventional journals of that time. Nearly half a century later, Orbis continues to offer informative, insightful, and lively discourse on the full range of topics relating to American foreign policy and national security, as well as in-depth analysis on important international developments. Orbis readers always know the stories behind the headlines.