基于协整和格兰杰检验的河南省能源消费成分与经济增长研究

Ma Yanqin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文以河南省为例,运用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,以1980-2008年的数据为基础,探讨了河南省主要能源消费成分与经济增长的关系。结果表明:长期来看,我国油气消费与经济增长呈稳定的正均衡关系,且经济增长与能源消费呈一个方向;经济增长与煤电消费之间不存在格兰杰因果关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Study on energy consumption ingredients and economic growth in Henan based on co-integration and granger test
Taking Henan as an example, using co-integration analysis and Granger causality test, on the basis of the data of 1980–2008, this paper discusses the relationship between the main energy consumption ingredients and the economic growth in Henan province. The result shows that there is a stable positive equilibrium relationship between the petroleum and gas consumption and the economic growth in the long term, and in one direction from the economic growth to energy consumption; but no any Granger causality between the economic growth and the coal and electrical power consumption.
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