“可怕的风暴”:COVID-19对斯里兰卡的经济影响

D. Dissanayake
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摘要

2019冠状病毒病席卷全球,在生活的大多数方面挑战着“正常”的准则。疫情使斯里兰卡几乎所有的经济活动都“停止”了。本综述研究全面考察了2019冠状病毒病对斯里兰卡国内生产总值、就业、贫困、旅游、家庭收入、汇率和汇款的影响。分析显示,COVID-19对斯里兰卡的国内生产总值和就业都产生了不利影响,尽管其影响程度远低于南亚平均水平。旅游收入下降、出口收入下降和未偿还的外债基本上增加了对外汇汇率的压力。因此,从2020年3月的第一周开始,斯里兰卡卢比对主要货币开始贬值。它报告了历史上最大的贬值之一。此外,新冠肺炎疫情对旅游、建筑、交通、酒店和服装等行业产生了不利影响,整体失业率上升。由于失业,失业率上升,同时也提高了贫困线。预测显示,在当前的大流行病下,与各种形式的贫穷有关的贫穷可能会增加。最终,超出预期的新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)的福利影响将不可避免地阻碍经济的长期发展进程。因此,应采取适当措施控制疫情蔓延,振兴经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
‘A Terrible Storm’: Economic Impact of COVID-19 on Sri Lanka
‘COVID-19’ has taken the world by storm, challenging the norm of ‘normal’ in most aspects of life. The pandemic situation ‘halted’ almost all economic activities of Sri Lanka. This review study comprehensively examines the impacts of COVID-19 on GDP, employment, poverty, tourism, household income, exchange rate and remittances in Sri Lankan context. The analysis reveals COVID-19 creates adverse impacts on both GDP and employment in Sri Lanka, despite magnitude of the impacts is significantly lower than that of South Asian average. Declining tourism receipts, declining export earnings and outstanding foreign debt repayments are essentially increasing the pressure on the foreign exchange rate. Accordingly, from the first week of March 2020, the Sri Lankan rupee began to depreciate against the major currencies. It reporting one of the highest depreciation in history. Moreover, COVID-19 adversely affected on tourism sector, construction, transport, hotel and apparel sectors while enhancing unemployment rate as a whole. Due to job lost, unemployment rate was increased while increasing the poverty line as well. Predictions show that under the current pandemic, poverty associated with all forms of poverty is likely to increase. Ultimately, the welfare impact of COVID-19, which is rising more than expected, will inevitably hamper the country's long-term economic development process. Therefore, appropriate measures should be taken to control the spread of the epidemic and to revive the economy.
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