日悬沙负荷估算的人工智能模型比较:以伊朗泰拉尔河和卡西连河为例

S. Emamgholizadeh, Razieh Karimi Demneh
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引用次数: 31

摘要

河流悬沙负荷估算是水利工程中的主要问题之一。泥沙等级曲线(SRC)等不同的传统方法可用于估算河流的悬沙负荷。该方法的主要问题是精度低,不确定度大。在本研究中,比较了基因表达编程(GEP)、人工神经网络(ANN)和自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)三种智能模型与SRC方法的能力。利用卡斯连河和泰拉尔河两个水文站1964-2014年的日流量和日输沙量建立智能模型。结果表明,各智能模型对悬沙荷载的估计结果可靠,且均优于SRC方法。结果表明,GEP模型具有较高的决定系数(r2)和较低的平均绝对误差(MAE),较ANN和ANFIS模型更适合于估算Kasilian河和Telar河两个子流域的日悬沙负荷。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A comparison of artificial intelligence models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load: a case study on the Telar and Kasilian rivers in Iran
The suspended sediment load estimation of rivers is one of the main issues in hydraulic engineering. Different traditional methods such as sediment rating curve (SRC) can be used to estimate the suspended sediment load of rivers. The main problem of this method is its low accuracy and uncertainty. In this study, the ability of three intelligence models namely Gene Expression Programming (GEP), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) were compared to the SRC method. The daily flow discharge and sediment discharge of two hydrometric stations of Kasilian and Telar rivers in the period of 1964–2014 were used to develop intelligence models. The performance of these methods indicated that all intelligence models give reliable results in the estimation of the suspended sediment load and their performance was better than the SRC method. Moreover, results showed that the GEP model with a high coefficient of determination (R 2 ) and a low mean absolute error (MAE) was better than both the ANN and ANFIS models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load of the two sub-basins of Kasilian and Telar rivers.
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