中国小企业信用评分:多元混合神经网络的应用

Chi Guo-tai, Mohammad Zoynul Abedin, F. Moula
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引用次数: 5

摘要

近年来,混合模型已被证明是一种很有前途的信用状况预测方法,因此,本项目的目的是检验混合分类器的预测性能。特别是将特征工程与流行的神经网络(NN)分类器相结合;一种杂交方法,比较了混合分类器,神经网络分类器和三种众所周知的基线分类器,即逐步判别分析(SDA),逐步逻辑回归(SLR)和决策树(dt)。总的来说,我们执行了一个12+8+ (8×8)的实验设计,产生了84个独特的分类模型;即12个基线模型,8个神经网络模型,64个混合模型,一个多重混合模型;在中国一家商业银行的大型信用评分数据集上进行了研究。此外,评估任务使用了13个评估指标,这可能是首次将多个混合分类器与多个绩效指标联系起来进行小企业信贷评估。结果表明,基于F比率的SDA与基于多层感知器的神经网络分类器(SDA FR +MLP)混合模型的预测和区分能力优于一维评分模型(基线模型和神经网络模型)及其混合模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Chinese Small Business Credit Scoring: Application of Multiple Hybrids Neural Network
In recent years, hybrid models have proven to be a promising approach for the forecasting of credit status, therefore, the aim of this project is to examine the prediction performance of hybrid classifiers. Particularly, the combination of the feature engineering with popular neural network (NN) classifiers; an hybridization approach, is compared with hybrid classifier, NN classifiers, and three well-known baseline classifiers, i.e. stepwise discriminant analysis (SDA), stepwise logistic regression (SLR), and decision trees (DTs). Overall, we executed a 12+8+ (8×8) experimental design that resulted in 84 unique classification models; i.e., 12 baseline models, 8 NN models, and 64 hybrid models, a multiple hybrid; are examined over a large credit scoring dataset from a Chinese commercial bank. Besides, thirteen evaluation measures are used for the assessment task and this may be the first effort to link up multiple hybrid classifiers with multiple performance metrics for the evaluation of small business credit. The results reveal that the predictive and distinguish ability of the F ratio based SDA with multilayer perceptron based NN classifier (SDA FR +MLP), a hybrid model, outperforms both of the one–dimensional scoring models (baseline model and NN model) and its hybrid counterparts.
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