游客尼泊尔再游意愿的Probit模型分析

Noora Shrestha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨旅游者目的地满意属性的辨识,以及这些因素对其尼泊尔再访意向的影响。本研究采用调查方法收集数据,并对游客样本进行自填问卷调查。探索性因子分析,采用主成分分析和变量旋转,提取与目的地特征满意度相关的显著因子。运用最大似然法,建立概率模型,检验旅游者满意度对其重游意愿的影响。probit模型正确预测了93.5%的案例。这些游客被认为是穷游,因为92%的游客在访问期间每人每天的花费低于40美元。结果还表明,对历史和宗教场所、体验不同的生活方式、徒步登山、冒险运动、导游服务等目的地特征的满意度显著影响穷游尼泊尔再次访问意愿的概率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probit Model Analysis of Tourists’ Revisit Intention to Nepal
This study discusses on the identification of the tourists’ destination satisfaction attributes and the influence of these factors on their revisit intention to Nepal. This study used the survey methodology for data collection and involved the distribution of self-administered questionnaires to a sample of tourists. An exploratory factor analysis, with principal component analysis and varimax rotation, was used to extract significant factors related to satisfaction with destination features. Using maximum likelihood method, a probit model was analyzed to test the impact of tourists’ satisfaction with their revisit intention. The probit model predicts 93.5% of the cases correctly. The tourists were considered to be budget travellers as 92% of them spent less than $40 per person per day during their visit. The result also shows that satisfaction with destination characteristics such as historic and religious places, experiencing different lifestyle, trekking & mountaineering, adventure sports, and tourist guide service, are realized to significantly influence the probability of revisit intention of budget travellers to Nepal.
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