{"title":"德尔菲方法:回顾与批判","authors":"Thomas J. Murray","doi":"10.1016/0147-8001(79)90013-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper provides a brief review of the range of methodologies encompassed by the Delphi technique. It then investigates a number of criticisms that have been raised in the literature in connection with Delphi and its applications. With this background an evaluation of the usefulness and limitations of these methodologies is made.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101267,"journal":{"name":"Urban Systems","volume":"4 2","pages":"Pages 153-158"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1979-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0147-8001(79)90013-5","citationCount":"26","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Delphi methodologies: A review and critique\",\"authors\":\"Thomas J. Murray\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/0147-8001(79)90013-5\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper provides a brief review of the range of methodologies encompassed by the Delphi technique. It then investigates a number of criticisms that have been raised in the literature in connection with Delphi and its applications. With this background an evaluation of the usefulness and limitations of these methodologies is made.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":101267,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Urban Systems\",\"volume\":\"4 2\",\"pages\":\"Pages 153-158\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1979-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0147-8001(79)90013-5\",\"citationCount\":\"26\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Urban Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0147800179900135\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Urban Systems","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0147800179900135","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper provides a brief review of the range of methodologies encompassed by the Delphi technique. It then investigates a number of criticisms that have been raised in the literature in connection with Delphi and its applications. With this background an evaluation of the usefulness and limitations of these methodologies is made.
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