基础设施对俄罗斯地区人口分布和社会经济发展的影响

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
R. Manshin, E. Moiseeva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人口和社会经济发展的高度分化严重阻碍了俄罗斯经济的可持续增长。本文分析了基础设施对俄罗斯地区人口分布和发展的影响。本研究的重点是在考虑俄罗斯各地区的移民吸引力的情况下,确定基础设施发展作为人口定居和形成因素的特征的理论和实践问题。本研究旨在揭示区域基础设施发展与以人口密度和净迁移为特征的人口分布之间的相关性。为此,我们计算了这些人口分布指标与交通、能源、社会、公共和电信基础设施发展指数之间的相关性。此外,还估计了区域生产总值与相同基础设施发展指数之间的相关性。相关分析显示,区域人口密度、净移民与除社会发展指标外的其他基础设施发展指标均呈弱正相关。区域人口密度与交通基础设施发展指数呈正相关。良好的交通可达性使人们更容易获得其他类型的基础设施,从而增加某些地区的空间连通性和人口潜力。基础设施的发展不仅对区域发展的社会指标产生重大影响,而且对经济指标也产生重大影响,如区域生产总值与交通、电信和能源基础设施发展指标之间的相关性。因此,根据所进行的统计分析,基础设施发展指数与人口分布之间存在但较弱的关系,证实了存在一组因素,其中基础设施不是主要因素。然而,基础设施限制的消除以及基础设施质量和可用性的提高将有助于克服俄罗斯的人口和经济收缩。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Influence of Infrastructure on Population Distribution and Socio-Economic Development of Russian Regions
High divergence of demographic and socio-economic development significantly hinders the sustainable growth of the Russian economy. This article analyses the influence of infrastructure on population distribution and development of Russian regions. The study focuses on theoretical and practical issues related to identifying the features of infrastructure development as a factor of settlement and formation of population, considering the migration attractiveness of Russian regions. The research aimed to reveal a correlation between the regional infrastructure development and population distribution characterised by its density and net migration. To this end, we calculated the correlation between these indicators of population distribution and development indices of transport, energy, social, communal and telecommunications infrastructure. Additionally, the correlation between gross regional product and the same infrastructure development indices was estimated. The correlation analysis revealed the presence of a weak positive relationship between the regional population density, net migration, and all infrastructure development indices, except for social one. The strongest positive relationship is observed between the regional population density and the transport infrastructure development index. Good transport accessibility gives people easier access to other types of infrastructure and consequently increases the spatial connectivity and demographic potential of certain areas. Infrastructure development greatly influences not only social indicators of regional development but also economic ones, as shown by the correlation between gross regional product and development indices of transport, telecommunications and energy infrastructure. Thus, according to the conducted statistical analysis, the existing but weak relationship between infrastructure development indices and population distribution confirms the presence of a set of factors, where infrastructure is not the main one. Nevertheless, the removal of infrastructure constraints and an increase in the infrastructure quality and availability will help overcome both the demographic and economic contraction of Russia.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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