自然资源损害评估模型体系验证的视角

Thomas A. Grigalunas, James J. Opaluch, Deborah P. French, Mark Reed
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文介绍了海岸和海洋环境自然资源损害评估模型(NRDAM/ CME)的初步验证工作。在描述了模型应满足的一般要求之后,通过与实地研究结果的回顾性比较来验证NRDAM/CME所固有的问题进行了审查。由于这些问题,一个数量级的精度标准被认为是适当的。模型结果与选定的野外研究结果的比较表明,在此标准下,NRDAM/CME提供了合理的结果。鉴于这一初步验证工作仅基于使用少数研究中现成的信息,因此需要额外的努力来验证模型并酌情对其进行改进。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Perspective on validating the natural resource damage assessment model system

This paper describes a preliminary effort to validate the Natural Resource Damage Assessment Model for Coastal and Marine Environments (NRDAM/ CME). After describing the general requirements that the model should meet, the problems inherent in validating the NRDAM/CME by a retrospective comparison with the results of field studies are reviewed. Due to these problems, an order-of-magnitude standard of accuracy is argued to be appropriate. Comparisons of the model results with those of selected, field studies suggest that the NRDAM/CME provides reasonable results given this standard. In light of the fact that this preliminary validation effort is based on the use of only readily available information for a few studies, additional efforts are in order to validate the model and refine it, as appropriate.

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