1990年后罗马尼亚道路运输基础设施的演变。经济影响

Olimpia Neagu, A. Haiduc, Stefan Nicoara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的范围是介绍罗马尼亚道路基础设施的演变,其基于欧洲统计数据库(EUROSTAT)提取的数据的经济影响,以及对国家经济具有潜在高度积极影响的战略投资机会。这项研究使用的数据跨越了29年的时间,从1990年共产主义政权倒台后到2019年罗马尼亚已经成为欧盟成员国。对罗马尼亚的道路基础设施进行分类分析,并与欧洲其他国家的基础设施进行比较。在选定的时间框架内发展罗马尼亚运输基础设施是在一个复杂的政治环境下进行的,所有公共当局都不断受到腐败的威胁。该文件还旨在确定道路基础设施对罗马尼亚经济发展和国际货物和服务贸易的影响。采用普通最小二乘法进行计量分析,研究道路长度作为自变量与罗马尼亚人均GDP、货物和服务进出口作为因变量的相关性。根据实证分析,我们发现罗马尼亚的道路基础设施是国家经济发展的重要决定因素,也是国际贸易的重要决定因素,因此,它的重要性是不可否认的,应该努力使其蓬勃发展。还包括政策影响,以及对连接黑海和欧洲市场的国家高速公路网进行战略投资的建议。这种投资的影响将波及整个罗马尼亚经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE EVOLUTION OF ROAD TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE IN ROMANIA AFTER 1990. ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
The scope of this paper is to present the evolution of Romanian roads infrastructure, its economic impact based on data extracted from the European Statistical Database (EUROSTAT) and the opportunities for strategic investments with potential highly positive impacts on the nation’s economy. The data used for this research spans over a period of 29 years, from 1990 right after the fall of the communist regime, to 2019 when Romania is already a Member of the European Union. The Romanian roads infrastructure is analysed according to its classification and compared with infrastructure from other European countries. The development of the Romanian transportation infrastructure in the selected timeframe was done in a complicated political environment with constant threat from corruption in all Public Authorities. The paper also aimed to establish the influence of road infrastructure over the economic development and international trade of goods and services of Romania. The econometric analysis was performed using Ordinary Least Squares method and studied the correlation between road length, as independent variable and GDP per capita, export and import of goods and services of Romania, as dependent variables. Based on empirical analysis, we found that Romanian road infrastructure is a significant determining factor for the development of the country’s economy, as well as for international trade, thus, its importance is undeniable and efforts should be made in order for it to flourish. Policy implications are also included, as well as suggestions for strategic investments in a national motorway network that would connect the Black Sea to the European Markets. Effects of such investments would ripple through the entire Romanian economy.
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