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引用次数: 0
摘要
自1972年《增长的极限》出版以来,人们希望人类能够更加意识到潜在的危机,并更加积极主动地防止这些危机的发生。2011年,Halal和Marien在《期货研究杂志》上举办了一场关于全球大危机的研讨会。在研讨会讨论的基础上,本文试图揭示为什么危机往往导致崩溃,即使危机的警告已经发布了一段时间。它以2011年3月11日发生的福岛第一核电站(Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant)的垮塌为例。本文认为,社会危机的根源在于个人和组织内部的自我价值危机。
Internal Crisis as an Impediment to Futures Thinking
Since the publication of The Limits to Growth in 1972, it is hoped that human beings have become more aware of potential crises and have become more proactive to prevent those crises from happening. Halal and Marien held a symposium on the Global Megacrisis in the Journal of Futures Studies in 2011. Based on the discussion in the symposium, this paper tries to reveal why a crisis often leads to a collapse even if warnings about the crisis have been issued for some time. It uses as a case the collapse of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, which occurred on March 11, 2011. The paper argues that the root cause of a crisis in society is found in the crisis of self-worth inside individuals and organizations.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Futures Studies is a globally-oriented, trans-disciplinary referred journal. Its mission is to develop high-quality, futures-oriented research and thinking based on the evolving knowledge base of Futures Studies. Articles accepted for publication are expected to show an in-depth understanding of the field"s dimensions, content, research perspectives and methods.