世界能源危机中最优能源结构的多标准选择

Aleksandra Tomić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过能源转型实现可持续发展是可行的。这种转变的关键要素是:实施能源效率措施,使用可再生资源,应对气候变化和环境保护。据悉,欧盟为实现2015年《巴黎协定》的目标,以及2030年可持续发展议程的宏伟目标,建立了具有法律约束力的框架。自2020年签署《索非亚宣言》以来,塞尔维亚将根据现有能源制定新的能源战略和技术研究,以实现最佳能源结构的目标。这将考虑到电力系统和能源安全,以及经济和财务分析所提出的技术解决方案的最佳组合。在本文中,为了评估结果和选择情景,制定了一项多标准分析,并将在此基础上编制《国家能源和气候综合计划》草案。这种分析的基础应该是选择最优的能源组合,这种组合将受到持续的监测,特别是在能源危机时期,当世界能源市场的价格和供应出现重大中断时。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multicriteria selection of the optimal energy mix during the world energy crisis
Sustainable development is feasible through energy transition. The key elements of such transition are: the implementation of energy efficiency measures, the use of renewable resources, tackling climate change and environmental protection. It is known that the EU has established a legally binding framework for achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement from 2015, as well as ambitious goals through the 2030 Agenda. Since Serbia signed Sofia Declaration from 2020, it will create new Energy Strategy and technical study based upon existing energy sources, to get to the aim of optimal energy mix. This will take into account the electricity system and energy security, as well as the economic and financial analysis of the proposed technical solutions of the optimal mix. In this paper, a multi-criteria analysis has been developed for the purpose of evaluating the results and selecting the scenarios on the basis of which the draft of the Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan will be prepared. The basis for this analysis should be the selection of the optimal energy mix that will be continuously monitored with special reference to the period of energy crises, when there are major disruptions in prices and availability on the world energy market.
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