后危机时期,汇率对塞尔维亚物价的“传递”

V. Ristanović, N. Tasić
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文遵循一个众所周知的汇率对经济中通货膨胀的传递效应。大量的计量经济模型表明,汇率对通货膨胀的影响是存在的。本文的目的是评估这种影响有多强,以及在全球经济崩溃后,外汇汇率对塞尔维亚价格的影响是否在增加/减少。运用计量经济模型(ADL方法)对后危机时期的传导效应进行了评估。结果表明,这种影响是存在的,但它远远低于1,而且随着时间的推移,它一直在减少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exchange rate 'pass-through' on prices in Serbia in the post-crisis period
This paper follows a well-known pass-through effect of the foreign exchange rate at the inflation in the economy. Numerous econometric models show the existence of the influence of the foreign exchange rate on inflation. The aim of the paper is to evaluate how strong this effect is and whether the influence of the foreign exchange rate on price in Serbia after the collapse of the global economy is increasing/decreasing. The pass-through effect is assessed in the post-crisis period using the econometric model (ADL methodology). The results show that this effect exists, but that it is far below 1 and that it has been decreasing over time.
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