俄罗斯在多极世界中的地位和塞尔维亚的战略选择

Dušan Proroković
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引用次数: 0

摘要

依托现实主义的国际关系理论,运用内容分析、综合和比较的方法,可以对当代国际关系中力量均势的建立现象进行监测和论证。这一进程的关键因素之一当然是俄罗斯联邦。重新定义冷战后的国际秩序并塑造一个多极和多中心的新秩序的愿望,在俄罗斯的战略、官员的外表和具体行动中都很明显。毫无疑问,俄罗斯正在把自己定位为不断变化的世界政治体系结构中的一个独立的极,这就是为什么有必要在这方面考虑塞尔维亚共和国的战略选择。本文共分为五个部分。导论部分致力于介绍框架-方法和理论,以及关键概念。第二部分解释了世界政治体系的结构和均势现象,第三部分通过俄罗斯当前(外交政策)的定位(对世界政治体系和均势转变的影响)具体表现了这一点。第四部分分析了俄塞关系及其质量和内容,第五部分探讨了塞尔维亚共和国的战略选择。研究的时间范围限于2008年全球金融经济危机开始到今天这段时间。为了研究的目的,使用了当代政治学、安全、经济、法律和史学文献,以及与国际组织、俄罗斯和塞尔维亚机构的决定有关的第一手资料,以及与本文有关的官员的声明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russia's position in the multipolar world and Serbia's strategic options
By relying on realistic theories of international relations, using the methods of content analysis, synthesis and comparison, it is possible to monitor and prove the phenomenon of establishing a balance of power in contemporary international relations. One of the key factors in that process is certainly the Russian Federation. The aspiration to redefine the post-Cold War international order and to shape a new one - multipolar and polycentric, is noticeable in Russia's strategies, as well as in the appearances of officials and concrete actions. Undoubtedly, Russia is positioning itself as one of the independent poles in the changing structure of the world political system, which is why it is necessary to consider the strategic options of the Republic of Serbia in that context. The paper consists of five parts. The introductory part is dedicated to the presentation of the framework - methodological and theoretical, as well as key concepts. The second part explains the structure of the world political system and the phenomenon of balance of power, while the third part specifically shows this through the current (foreign policy) positioning of Russia (influence on the transformation of the world political system and balance of power). The fourth part analyzes Russian - Serbian relations, their quality and content, while the fifth part discusses the strategic options of the Republic of Serbia. The time frame of the research is limited to the period from 2008 and the beginning of the global financial-economic crisis until today. For the purposes of the research, contemporary political science, security, economic, legal and historiographical literature was used, as well as primary sources related to decisions of international organizations, institutions of Russia and Serbia, as well as statements of officials relevant to this paper.
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