安达卢西亚的外国旅游:动态面板数据分析

Q2 Decision Sciences
Adrián Mendieta-Aragón, Teresa Garín-Muñoz
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文研究了安达卢西亚入境国际旅游的主要影响因素,并量化了其发生率。在经典的旅游需求理论框架的基础上,我们通过增加滞后因变量作为解释变量,以及游客原籍国的人均收入、原籍国与目的地国之间的相对价格和旅游成本,将动态因素纳入模型。该实证模型应用于2008 - - 2018年期间由21个游客原籍国组成的面板数据集。数据来自西班牙国家统计局(INE)发布的酒店入住率调查(HOS)。利用Arellano和Bond的GMM DIFF估计得到了结果。估计的参数反映了高水平的消费者忠诚度和口碑效应的重要性。此外,收入弹性表明,安达卢西亚的旅游需求可能被视为一种奢侈品。价格与旅游需求呈负相关。旅游成本具有负面影响,在解释游客到达数量方面具有统计学意义,但在解释过夜停留模型方面并不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Tourism in Andalusia: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis
This paper studies the main determinants of the inbound international tourism in Andalusia and quantify its incidence. Based on the classical theoretical framework for tourism demand, we incorporate dynamics into the model by adding the lagged dependent variable as an explanatory variable, along with the per capita income of the tourist's country of origin, the relative prices between the origin and destination countries and the cost of travel. The empirical model is applied to a panel data set consisting of 21 countries of origin of the tourists for the period 2008–2018. Data were collected from the Hotel Occupancy Survey (HOS), published by the National Statistics Institute of Spain (INE). The results have been obtained using the GMM DIFF estimator of Arellano and Bond. The parameters estimated reflect a high level of consumer loyalty and the importance of the word-of-mouth effect. Moreover, the income elasticity indicates that the demand for tourism in Andalusia may be considered as a luxury good. Prices have a negative relationship with tourism demand. The cost of travel, which has a negative effect, is statistically significant to explain the number of tourists' arrivals and, however, it is not significant for the overnight stays model.
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来源期刊
Advances in Decision Sciences
Advances in Decision Sciences Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
审稿时长
29 weeks
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