埃及大型项目建设阶段风险管理模型

IF 1.3 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
M. Habib, Marwa Ahmed Kamer Eldawla, M. Zaki
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引用次数: 1

摘要

由于受益人、业主和项目所有参与者的多样性,以及各种工程、财务和行政工作之间的技术重叠,大型项目的实施变得复杂,而建筑活动的具体特征对建筑项目的性质有明显的影响,因为实施过程与对自然环境的深入和长期干预有关。如果施工对环境造成负担,无论是在施工阶段还是在维护和清算阶段:都需要大量的材料资源折旧。通过这一研究,本研究的重点是澄清风险管理中最重要的概念和现代风险分析策略,以及如何应对它们和监控项目。然后,该研究提出了一份关于埃及重大项目面临风险的调查问卷。通过对问卷调查结果的分析,进行了定性的风险分析,可用于对风险的优先级响应。此外,基于理论基础进行了蒙特卡洛模拟,并提供了一个新的流程来确定与可持续性相关的项目风险的优先级,其中(Primavera risk analysis)程序用于阐明风险对项目时间和成本的影响。所有的分析都是基于可持续建筑领域的风险、风险管理过程和项目生命周期方法的理论背景。在这项研究的帮助下,有可能通过在未来项目规划中实施可持续管理和更好地管理当前项目来解决减轻对环境有害影响的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A risk management model for large projects in the construction phase in Egypt
The implementation of major projects is complicated by the multiplicity of beneficiaries, owners, and all participants in the project as well as the technical overlap between the various engineering, financial and administrative works, while the specific features of the construction activity have a clear influence in shaping the nature of construction projects because the implementation processes were associated with a deep and long-term intervention in the natural environment, where construction is a burden on the environment, both in the construction phase and during the maintenance and liquidation phases: it requires depreciation of a large number of material resources. Through that, this study focused on clarifying the most important concepts of risk management and modern strategies in risk analysis and how to respond to them and monitor projects. The study then presented a questionnaire for the risks facing major projects in Egypt. Through analyzing the results of the questionnaire, a qualitative risk analysis was conducted that can be used to prioritize response to risks, in addition to conducting a Monte Carlo simulation based on theoretical foundations and providing a new process for prioritizing project risks related to sustainability, where the (Primavera Risk Analysis) program was used to clarify the impact of risks on project time and cost. All analyses are based on the theoretical background regarding risk, risk management process, and project life cycle approach in the sustainable construction sector. with the help of this study, it is possible to address ways of mitigating the harmful effects on the environment through the implementation of sustainable management in the planning of future projects and better management of current projects.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
5.90%
发文量
16
审稿时长
16 weeks
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