资源型经济——沙特阿拉伯经济增长和可持续发展的决定因素

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS
Sandra Šokčević, Andreja Rudančić, Matea Pandžić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文考察了沙特阿拉伯王国长期经济增长和可持续发展的决定因素,作为一个选择的单一资源经济,依赖于大量的石油生产。研究方法采用计量经济学方法进行多元回归分析和多元共线性检验,选取2010 - 2020年为研究对象。该研究基于一个包含13个变量的模型进行,其中因变量是国内生产总值的年增长率,自变量是通货膨胀率、预算赤字、石油出口、进口、失业率、外国直接投资、劳动生产率、公共债务、劳动力、人均国内生产总值、人类发展指数、自然资源总租金和调整后的净储蓄。结果表明,国内生产总值与选定的变量之间存在很强的联系,并且存在对沙特经济增长具有战略重要性的因素,但另一方面,某些因素对可持续发展的负面影响。结论:基于研究结果,建议人力资本投资是未来实现长期可持续发展和减少对自然资源运营依赖的迫切步骤。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Resource-based economy – determinants of economic growth and sustainable development in Saudi Arabia
Purpose: This paper examines the determinants of long-term economic growth and sustainable development of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia as a chosen one-resource economy that relies on massive oil production. Methodology is based on the econometric methods of multiple regression analysis and the multicollinearity test for the period from 2010 to 2020. The research was conducted on the basis of a model of 13 variables, where the dependent variable is the annual rate of GDP, and the independent variables are inflation, budget deficit, oil exports, imports, unemployment rate, foreign direct investment, labour productivity, public debt, labour force, GDP per capita, HDI index, total rent of natural resources and adjusted net savings. Results indicate a strong connection between gross domestic product and the selected variables and the existence of factors that are of strategic importance for the growth of the Saudi economy, but on the other hand, the negative effects of certain factors on sustainable development. Conclusion: Based on the results, it is suggested that investment in human capital is an urgent step to achieve long-term sustainability and reduce reliance on natural resource operations in the future.
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Ekonomski Vjesnik
Ekonomski Vjesnik ECONOMICS-
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