通过接种疫苗和限制措施，COVID-19的死亡人数和死亡率明显高于流感

IF 0.2 Q4 ALLERGY

Alergologia Polska - Polish Journal of Allergology Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.5114/pja.2023.125766

P. Rieske

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文展示了在限制和接种疫苗的背景下(2020-2021年，主要是发达国家)流感和COVID-19发病率和感染死亡率(IFR)死亡率的估计数据。其中包括两个年龄组:65岁以下和65岁以上。流感死亡率(IFR)在2020年至2021年间没有变化，在所有人中约为0.05%，在65岁以下人群中为0.005%。IFR - COVID-19平均约为。总体为0.5%，65岁以下年龄组至少为0.07%。2020年和2021年期间，COVID-19的发病率差异很大，从日本的约50/10万到秘鲁的600/10万。在美国和波兰，两年内每10万人中就有25人死亡。美国低危人群新冠肺炎发病率为70/10万。2020年之前，美国的流感发病率为每10万人中有1-10人。在2020/21赛季，这一比例降至十万分之一。在65岁及65岁以下的人群中，美国2020/2021季节的流感发病率约为0.3 /10万，在典型季节为0.3至3/10万。绝对数字的例子。在美国，2021年COVID-19的受害者为47.1万人(一年可用的疫苗接种)。2021年流感季最严重。4500受害者。在不受限制的流感季节，平均约有2.5万名受害者。对缺乏限制和疫苗接种的后果的预测是理论上的，因为初步的预测说，美国将有200万至300万名COVID-19受害者，甚至超过1000万名额外的住院治疗，这可能意味着卫生系统的崩溃，因此实际上会有更多的受害者。所提供的数据不是由诊断错误引起的。适当的流行病评估证实了疫苗接种和靶向治疗的有效性。COVID-19疫苗接种将IFR死亡率降低了约10倍。版权所有©Termedia出版社有限公司版权所有。

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Significantly higher death toll along with COVID-19 mortality than influenza have been reduced by vaccination and restrictions

The article demonstrates estimated data of influenza and COVID-19 morbidity and infection fatality rate (IFR) mortality in the context of restrictions and vaccination (years 2020-2021 mostly developed countries). A division into two age groups was included: Up to 65 years of age and over 65 years of age. Influenza mortality (IFR) did not change between 2020 and 2021 and was about 0.05% among all, and 0.005 among those under 65 years of age. IFR COVID-19 was on average approx. 0.5% overall, and in groups under 65 years of age a minimum of 0.07%. COVID-19 morbidity varied greatly from about 50/100,000 in Japan to 600/100,000 in Peru during 2020 plus 2021. In the United States and Poland, about 250 per 100 thousand in 2 years. The morbidity rate of COVID-19 in lower risk groups was 70/100 thousand in the United States. The pre-2020 flu morbidity rate in the United States ranged from 1-10 per 100,000 per season. In the 2020/21 season, it decreased to 1/100 thousand. In groups 65 age old and younger, influenza morbidity in the United States was about 0.3 per 100,000 in the 2020/2021 season, and in typical seasons 0.3 to 3/100,000. Examples of absolute numbers. In the United States, in 2021, COVID-19 471,000 victims (a year of available vaccinations). Influenza season 2021 max. 4,500 victims. The average flu season in unrestricted seasons, was about 25,000 victims. Predictions of the consequenc-es of the lack of restrictions and vaccinations are theoretical, because the preliminary ones talk about 2-3 million COVID-19 victims and even more than ten million additional hospitalizations in the United States, which may mean the collapse of the health system, and thus in practice a greater number of victims. The data presented did not result from diagnostic errors. A proper epidemic assessment confirms the effectiveness of vaccination and targeted therapy. COVID-19 vaccination reduced IFR mortality by about 10-fold.Copyright © 2023, Termedia Publishing House Ltd.. All rights reserved.

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来源期刊

Alergologia Polska - Polish Journal of Allergology ALLERGY-

自引率

50.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Alergologia Polska - Polish Journal of Allergology is aimed mainly at allergologists, but also medical doctors working in related fields, such as otolaryngology, pulmonology, and dermatology. The main goal of the journal is to ensure rapid publication of important research papers and interesting case studies from the following areas: allergology, diagnostics, therapy of allergic diseases, in particular in the area of immunotherapy, rhinitis, asthma. The Editorial Board accepts for publication original papers, case studies and letters to the Editor. We also publish review articles (both commissioned and those agreed upon with the Editor-in-Chief), articles dealing with standards of medical practice, as well as special issues. The journal is published quarterly. We guarantee short review times (up to two weeks) and immediate publication on-line upon Editor acceptance.