{"title":"基于灰色Verhulst方法的台湾人口分析","authors":"Kun-Li Wen, Yi-Fung Huang","doi":"10.30016/JGS.200507.0003","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The principle of population prediction is one of the most important policies for developing countries, and population numbers are a basis for the formula used by the government with very limited resources. If the population increases significantly, or growth is reversed, then the entire balance of the ecology will be seriously impacted. Therefore, at first, the article focuses on the use of the Grey Verhulst method trying to construct saturation numbers for the population. In this paper, a toolbox is also developed to provide a very convenient way of generating a great numerical analysis of a real case. Finally, an example is given to predict saturation numbers of the population numbers in Taiwan, and the results tell us it will not exceed 23 million. Based on the above methods, the full results not only provide the saturation numbers, but also can become the reference-making policy for the best layout of the population source.","PeriodicalId":50187,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Grey System","volume":"10 1","pages":"27-36"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2005-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Analysis of Population in Taiwan Based on Grey Verhulst Method\",\"authors\":\"Kun-Li Wen, Yi-Fung Huang\",\"doi\":\"10.30016/JGS.200507.0003\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The principle of population prediction is one of the most important policies for developing countries, and population numbers are a basis for the formula used by the government with very limited resources. If the population increases significantly, or growth is reversed, then the entire balance of the ecology will be seriously impacted. Therefore, at first, the article focuses on the use of the Grey Verhulst method trying to construct saturation numbers for the population. In this paper, a toolbox is also developed to provide a very convenient way of generating a great numerical analysis of a real case. Finally, an example is given to predict saturation numbers of the population numbers in Taiwan, and the results tell us it will not exceed 23 million. Based on the above methods, the full results not only provide the saturation numbers, but also can become the reference-making policy for the best layout of the population source.\",\"PeriodicalId\":50187,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Grey System\",\"volume\":\"10 1\",\"pages\":\"27-36\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2005-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Grey System\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.200507.0003\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Grey System","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.200507.0003","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Analysis of Population in Taiwan Based on Grey Verhulst Method
The principle of population prediction is one of the most important policies for developing countries, and population numbers are a basis for the formula used by the government with very limited resources. If the population increases significantly, or growth is reversed, then the entire balance of the ecology will be seriously impacted. Therefore, at first, the article focuses on the use of the Grey Verhulst method trying to construct saturation numbers for the population. In this paper, a toolbox is also developed to provide a very convenient way of generating a great numerical analysis of a real case. Finally, an example is given to predict saturation numbers of the population numbers in Taiwan, and the results tell us it will not exceed 23 million. Based on the above methods, the full results not only provide the saturation numbers, but also can become the reference-making policy for the best layout of the population source.
期刊介绍:
The journal is a forum of the highest professional quality for both scientists and practitioners to exchange ideas and publish new discoveries on a vast array of topics and issues in grey system. It aims to bring forth anything from either innovative to known theories or practical applications in grey system. It provides everyone opportunities to present, criticize, and discuss their findings and ideas with others. A number of areas of particular interest (but not limited) are listed as follows:
Grey mathematics-
Generator of Grey Sequences-
Grey Incidence Analysis Models-
Grey Clustering Evaluation Models-
Grey Prediction Models-
Grey Decision Making Models-
Grey Programming Models-
Grey Input and Output Models-
Grey Control-
Grey Game-
Practical Applications.