错失的机会:欧洲如何未能预测第二波浪潮,以及为什么我们没有在SARS-CoV-2大流行中变得更糟

L. Menezes, Gonçalves Ma, R. Santos, Almeida Jp, M. Vieita
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行现已在欧洲大陆进入第二波。在这篇文章中,我们想分析欧洲对第二波疫情的准备程度,以及为什么在过去的三个月里,我们面临的情况是这样的。我们更深入地了解葡萄牙的第二波浪潮,以及它可能是什么,使用数学模型将其与第一波进行比较。最后,我们试图了解在这几个月中收集和改进的程序、医学知识和治疗方法的改进,这使得在参考期内死亡率较低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Missed Opportunities: How Europe Failed to Predict the Second Wave and Why We Did Not Get it Worse in the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic has entered now in its second wave in the European continent. In this article we want to analyses the preparedness level of Europe for a second wave and why did things go into the situation we faced in the last 3 months until December. We go deeper to understand the second wave in Portugal and what it could have been, using a mathematical model to compare it to the first wave. Finally, we try to understand the improvement of procedures, medical knowledge and treatment collected and improved during these months, that allowed for a lower mortality rate in the referring period.
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