L. Menezes, Gonçalves Ma, R. Santos, Almeida Jp, M. Vieita
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Missed Opportunities: How Europe Failed to Predict the Second Wave and Why We Did Not Get it Worse in the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic has entered now in its second wave in the European continent. In this article we want to analyses the preparedness level of Europe for a second wave and why did things go into the situation we faced in the last 3 months until December. We go deeper to understand the second wave in Portugal and what it could have been, using a mathematical model to compare it to the first wave. Finally, we try to understand the improvement of procedures, medical knowledge and treatment collected and improved during these months, that allowed for a lower mortality rate in the referring period.