经济研究中计算机模拟的发展概况

IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS
Т.В. Хамдамов, Журнал Нэа
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了在经济研究中使用计算机模拟的两种方法的演变。第一个是由美国数学家诺伯特·维纳(Norbert Wiener)创造的,他将控制论理论作为科学研究和认知的一种方法。第二部也始于1944年至1955年,它是基于约翰·冯·诺伊曼(John von Neumann)的著作,他当时是洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室(Los Alamos National Laboratory)的顾问,并发明了细胞自动机。第一部分概述了维纳路径,它成为了Forrester系统动力学和Orcutt微模拟的指导参考点。第二部分介绍了诺伊曼路径,它产生了蒙特卡洛和基于主体的建模等方法,结果,通过G. Epstein和P. Axtel的努力,它被转化为专门为社会经济实验设计的人工生命的概念方法。最后,第三部分探讨了通过结合所关注的两条路径的方法开发混合模拟的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A brief overview of the evolution of computer simulations in economic research
The article discusses the evolution of two approaches to using computer simulations in economic research. The first was created by the American mathematician Norbert Wiener, who used the theory of cybernetics as a method of scientific research and cognition. The second, which also began its journey in the period 1944–1955, is based on the writings of John von Neumann, then a consultant to Los Alamos National Laboratory, and his invention of cellular automata. The first section provides an overview of the Wiener path, which became the guiding reference point for the Forrester system dynamics and Orcutt microsimulations. The second section presents the Neumann path, which gave birth to such methods as Monte Carlo and agent-based modeling, which, as a result, through the efforts of G. Epstein and P. Axtel, was transformed into a conceptual approach of artificial life specifically designed for socio-economic experiments. Finally, the third section explores the potential for developing hybrid simulations by combining the methods of the two paths in concern.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Key Journal''s objectives: bring together economists of different schools of thought across the Russian Federation; strengthen ties between Academy institutes, educational establishments and economic research centers; improve the quality of Russian economic research and education; integrate economic science and education; speed up the integration of Russian economic science in the global mainstream of economic research. The Journal publishes both theoretical and empirical articles, devoted to all aspects of economic science, which are of interest for wide range of specialists. It welcomes high-quality interdisciplinary projects and economic studies employing methodologies from other sciences such as physics, psychology, political science, etc. Special attention is paid to analyses of processes occurring in the Russian economy. Decisions about publishing of articles are based on a double-blind review process. Exceptions are short notes in the section "Hot Topic", which is usually formed by special invitations and after considerations of the Editorial Board. The only criterion to publish is the quality of the work (original approach, significance and substance of findings, clear presentation style). No decision to publish or reject an article will be influenced by the author belonging to whatever public movement or putting forward ideas advocated by whatever political movement. The Journal comes out four times a year, each issue consisting of 12 to 15 press sheets. Now it is published only in Russian. The English translations of the Journal issues are posted on the Journal website as open access resources.
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