裁军状况对巴西枪支死亡的影响

Evandro Camargos Teixeira, Walquíria Caneschi Ferro
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引用次数: 3

摘要

近几十年来,暴力犯罪的增加,特别是与枪支有关的死亡,引起了社会和各科学的注意。经济学,除其他方面外,有助于分析旨在减少犯罪的公共政策的执行效果。因此,考虑到2003年巴西批准了《裁军规约》,本文旨在分析其对1997-2015年期间与枪支有关的死亡(以凶杀、自杀、事故和原因不明的伤害为代表)的影响。为此,使用了动态面板GMM-SYS模型,其结果表明,尽管实施了战略规划,但该国与枪支有关的死亡率有所增加,这是在杀人行为之后发生的,因为它在死亡方式中占有突出地位。重要的是要强调巴西独特的区域动态,这些动态是这一时期火器死亡,特别是杀人案演变的特征。在巴西所有地区中,东北部地区的死亡人数增长最快,主要原因是除了对毒品和武器贩运的控制外,土地使用权和政治权力冲突日益加剧。东南地区,特别是圣保罗州,与枪支有关的死亡率有所下降,这主要是由于在公共安全方面实施了公共政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
EFEITO DO ESTATUTO DO DESARMAMENTO SOBRE AS MORTES POR ARMAS DE FOGO NO BRASIL
The rise of violent crime in recent decades, represented particularly by firearm-related deaths, has drawn the attention of society and various sciences. Economics, among other aspects, contributes to the analysis of the effect of the implementation of public policies aimed at reducing crime. Thus, taking into consideration the approval of the Disarmament Statute (DE) in Brazil in 2003, this paper aims to analyze its effect on firearm-related deaths, represented by homicides, suicides, accidents and injuries of undetermined causes during the period 1997-2015. For this, a dynamic panel, model GMM-SYS, was used, where the results showed that despite the implementation of the ED, the country showed an increase in firearm-related death rates, which follow the homicide behavior, given its prominence among the modalities of death. It is important to highlight the Brazilian distinct regional dynamics that characterize the evolution of firearm deaths in the period, particularly homicides. Among all Brazilian regions, the northeastern region presented the highest growth of deaths, having as main explanation the growing conflicts over land tenure and political power, besides the control of drug and arms trafficking. The Southeast region, particularly the state of Sao Paulo, had a reduction in firearm-related death rates, mainly due to public policies implemented in public safety.
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