{"title":"三个开放式工业和爆炸物:开采。","authors":"M. Akkaya","doi":"10.30798/makuiibf.802005","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The main indicators affecting short and longterm macroeconomic stability are budget deficits, current account deficit and savings deficits expressed as savings-investment imbalance. In the literature of Economics and Finance, there are many national and international studies on Twin Deficits Hypothesis. The triple deficit is also the balance of imbalance. The Triple Deficit Hypothesis is based on the relationship between the budget balance expressed as internal balance and the balance of savings and the current account balance representing the external balance. The main purpose of this study is to create a Triple Deficit Pressure Index for Turkey in 1998 - 2019 period. In addition, leading indicators that cause financial crises are investigated using the Triple Deficit Pressure Index. The study proves that Triple Deficit Pressure Index is valid in Turkey. In addition, there is one-way Granger causality for the Trıple Defıcıt Pressure Index.","PeriodicalId":40700,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.1000,"publicationDate":"2022-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"ÜÇÜZ AÇIK BASKI ENDEKSİ VE FİNANSAL KRİZLERİN TAHMİNİ: TÜRKİYE UYGULAMASI\",\"authors\":\"M. Akkaya\",\"doi\":\"10.30798/makuiibf.802005\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The main indicators affecting short and longterm macroeconomic stability are budget deficits, current account deficit and savings deficits expressed as savings-investment imbalance. In the literature of Economics and Finance, there are many national and international studies on Twin Deficits Hypothesis. The triple deficit is also the balance of imbalance. The Triple Deficit Hypothesis is based on the relationship between the budget balance expressed as internal balance and the balance of savings and the current account balance representing the external balance. The main purpose of this study is to create a Triple Deficit Pressure Index for Turkey in 1998 - 2019 period. In addition, leading indicators that cause financial crises are investigated using the Triple Deficit Pressure Index. The study proves that Triple Deficit Pressure Index is valid in Turkey. In addition, there is one-way Granger causality for the Trıple Defıcıt Pressure Index.\",\"PeriodicalId\":40700,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-11-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.802005\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.802005","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
ÜÇÜZ AÇIK BASKI ENDEKSİ VE FİNANSAL KRİZLERİN TAHMİNİ: TÜRKİYE UYGULAMASI
The main indicators affecting short and longterm macroeconomic stability are budget deficits, current account deficit and savings deficits expressed as savings-investment imbalance. In the literature of Economics and Finance, there are many national and international studies on Twin Deficits Hypothesis. The triple deficit is also the balance of imbalance. The Triple Deficit Hypothesis is based on the relationship between the budget balance expressed as internal balance and the balance of savings and the current account balance representing the external balance. The main purpose of this study is to create a Triple Deficit Pressure Index for Turkey in 1998 - 2019 period. In addition, leading indicators that cause financial crises are investigated using the Triple Deficit Pressure Index. The study proves that Triple Deficit Pressure Index is valid in Turkey. In addition, there is one-way Granger causality for the Trıple Defıcıt Pressure Index.