厄瓜多尔的领土增长:经济部门的作用

IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
R. Muñoz, N. Pontarollo
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引用次数: 2

摘要

厄瓜多尔是一个发展中国家,其特点是严重的领土差异,这反映在不同的经济和社会地理上,有可能破坏未来的平衡发展。本文首次在“改变生产矩阵”政策目标的背景下分析了主要经济部门对地方经济增长过程的影响,该政策目标旨在通过从现有极点到整个领土的生产分散,实现基于附加值的生产多样化。通过面板计量经济学技术,使用厄瓜多尔中央银行提供的2007-2014年期间的新数据进行估计。结果证明,尽管政府推行了旨在改变生产矩阵的战略,但这一过程远未完成。特别是,该国过于注重抑制经济增长的低生产率部门,制造业和金融服务部门过于集中在少数几个领域,阻碍了它们对整个经济可能产生的积极影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Territorial growth in Ecuador: the role of economic sectors
Ecuador is a developing country characterized by severe territorial disparities reflected in a heterogeneous economic and social geography that risk to undermine a future balanced development. The paper analyses for the first time the impact of main economic sectors on sub-national growth process in the context of the “Changing Productive Matrix” policy objective, which aims to achieve productive diversification based on adding value through de-concentration of production from the existing poles to the whole territory. The estimation is performed using new data provided by Central Bank of Ecuador for the period 2007-2014 through a panel econometric technique. The results prove that, despite the strategy aimed at changing the productive matrix pushed by the government, this process is far to be completed. In particular, the country is too much focused on low productive sectors which depress economic growth and the manufacture and financial services sectors are too much concentrated in few areas, preventing their possible positive effect into the whole economy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
20.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting (RJEF) aims to become a leading journal in the field of economic modeling and forecasting for emerging and frontier markets (EFM). It is the official publication of the Institute for Economic Forecasting (IEF) within the Romanian Academy. The objective of the Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting is to promote research covering quantitative models of the macroeconomic and microeconomic activity. Focusing mainly on empirical studies meant to provide a testing environment for the theoretical models, the journal also encourages the development of relevant analysis both theoretical and applied that yields fresh insights and promotes the efficient integration of new econometric techniques like non-linear modeling, agent-based models and complex systems developed for the emerging and frontier markets. Topics covered in the Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting: Economic and econometric modeling and forecasting Non-linear macroeconomic modeling Financial modeling and forecasting Forecasting applications in macroeconomic policies, government and business Implementation of forecasting Impact of forecast uncertainty on decision making Marketing modeling and forecasting Applications in complex systems theory Applications of agent-based models Applications of spatial models Transdisciplinary developments of economic models Econophysics applications.
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