基于支持向量机的日本COVID-19死亡率分析

IF 0.1 Q4 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
K. Tanabe, Takahiro Suzuki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了寻找当前新冠肺炎在全球范围内传播的因素,本文以47个地县的死亡率为客观变量,以各种指标为解释变量,采用多元回归分析方法进行实证研究。采用支持向量机方法处理客观变量与解释变量之间的非线性关系,采用敏感性分析方法搜索影响COVID-19死亡率的因素。福利、城市化、贫困率、服务业和性别比例是增加死亡率的危险因素,而单身家庭、膳食和睡眠是降低死亡率的防御因素。研究发现,与3c相关的城市化、服务业和单身家庭三个因素对死亡率的贡献最大,反映贫困人口现实的福利和贫困率两个因素对死亡率的贡献也最大,为预防新冠肺炎疫情提供了新的有用知识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of COVID-19 Mortality in Japan byUsing Support Vector Machine
To look for factors of the COVID-19 spreading in the whole world currently, an empirical study has been tried by using a multi-regression analysis for mortality rates of 47 prefectures as an objective variable, and various indices as the explanatory variables. A support vector machine method was applied to deal with a nonlinear relationship between objective and explanatory variables, and a sensitivity analysis was applied to search the factors of the COVID-19 mortality. Welfare, urbanization, poverty rate, service industry, and sex ratio were obtained as dangerous factors which increase mortality, while single-person households, meals, and sleep were obtained as defensing factors which decrease mortality. Novel and useful knowledge for prevention measure of the COVID-19 was obtained: three factors of urbanization, service industry, and single-person household relating to the Three Cs contribute largest to the mortality, and two factors of welfare and poverty rate, reflecting the reality' of the poor people also contribute.
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来源期刊
Journal of Computer Chemistry-Japan
Journal of Computer Chemistry-Japan CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
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