伊朗西北部(阿达比尔省)干旱分区采用加压灌溉方式的制约因素

Desert Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI:10.22059/JDESERT.2018.66348
M. Sookhtanlou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了伊朗阿达比尔省不同干旱程度的农民群体不愿采用加压灌溉方法的影响因素。本研究采用定性-定量混合方法。首先,通过SPI法和GIS技术对阿达比尔省进行干旱分区,选择轻度、中度和重度干旱3个区域;在第二阶段,采用多阶段整群抽样方法,从三个研究区域(n= 290)中选择不采用加压灌溉方法的农民。采用STATA软件进行有序logistic回归(OLR),确定农民群体的有效因素和特征因素。调查结果显示,54.5%的农民对采用加压灌溉系统有中等程度的不愿意。根据OLR模型和边际效应的结果,不同干旱程度的农民不愿意采用加压灌溉系统的程度存在显著差异。此外,在研究的18个因素中,只有教育水平、农民收入、对加压灌溉系统的认识、当地天气条件的影响、对加压灌溉系统优化的不信任、加压灌溉方法对农业产量的非效率和加压灌溉系统的成本等7个因素显著,这是区分不同干旱程度农民的能力。该研究表明,与其他有效因素相比,提高农民收入和对加压灌溉系统的认识,对农民处于不同程度干旱的可能性产生了最大的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Inhibiting factors on adoption of pressurized irrigation methods according to drought zoning in Northwestern Iran (Ardabil province)
In this study was examined the factors affecting the unwillingness to adopt pressurized irrigation methods among farmers' groups (with different levels of drought) in Ardabil province (Iran). Mixed method (Qualitative – Quantitative paradigm) was used for doing this research. First, by drought zoning of Ardabil province (by SPI method and GIS), three regions included the mild, moderate and severe drought levels were selected. In the second stage, using multi-stage cluster sampling from regions with pressurized irrigation methods implemented, non-adopter farmers of pressurized irrigation methods were selected from three regions of study (n= 290). The ordered logistic regression (OLR) (by STATA software) was used to determine the effective and distinctive factors of farmers' groups. The findings showed that 54.5% of farmers had moderate level of unwillingness to adopt pressurized irrigation systems. According to the results of OLR model and marginal effects, farmers in different levels of drought had significant difference in terms of unwillingness to adopt pressurized irrigation systems. Moreover, from among 18 factors of study, only 7 factors of education level, farm income, awareness of pressurized irrigation systems, the effect of local weather conditions, the distrust towards the optimizing of pressurized irrigation systems, non-efficiency of pressurized irrigation methods on farm yield and costs of pressurized irrigation systems were significant and it had been the ability to differentiate among farmers in different levels of drought. This study indicated that improving farm income and awareness of pressurized irrigation systems, compared with other effective factors, create the biggest variations in the probability of placing farmers in different levels of drought.
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