俄罗斯联邦区域电力消费空间特征分析

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Applied Econometrics Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.22394/1993-7601-2021-61-5-27

M. Petrov, L. Serkov, K. Kozhov

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文在空间计量经济学的框架下，分析了区域间电力消费的特征。利用Moran的方法，证明了某一地区的用电量水平与邻近地区的用电量水平呈正相关。为了评估提供这种积极影响的能源经济因素，建立了空间自回归模型。在分析的所有模型中，最适合的是因变量具有空间滞后的模型(SAR模型)。从边际效应(直接、间接和一般)的评估中得出的结论是，电力消费的区域分布在很大程度上是由区域内发生的过程而不是邻近区域所发生的过程来解释的。分析了一个具有扩展规范的模型，该模型考虑了价格区域和非价格区域的存在和相互作用。结果表明，价格区区域间的空间关系与非价格区区域间的空间关系不同。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Analysis of the spatial features of regional power consumption in the Russian Federation

The article analyzes the features of interregional power consumption within the framework of spatial econometrics. Using the Moran's method, it is shown that the level of electricity consumption in a certain region is positively correlated with the level of electricity consumption in neighboring regions. To assess the energy-economic factors providing this positive impact, spatial autoregression models have been built. Of all the models analyzed, the most appropriate is the one with the spatial lag of the dependent variable (SAR model). From the assessment of the marginal effects (direct, indirect and general), it was concluded that the regional distribution of electricity consumption is largely explained by the processes taking place within the region than in neighboring regions. A model with an extended specification that takes into account the presence and interaction of price and non-price zones is analyzed. The results obtained indicate that the spatial relationships between the regions of the price zone differ from the relationships between the regions of the non-price zone.

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来源期刊

Applied Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Applied Econometrics is an international journal published bi-monthly, plus 1 additional issue (total 7 issues). It aims to publish articles of high quality dealing with the application of existing as well as new econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics and related subjects, covering topics in measurement, estimation, testing, forecasting, and policy analysis. The emphasis is on the careful and rigorous application of econometric techniques and the appropriate interpretation of the results. The economic content of the articles is stressed. A special feature of the Journal is its emphasis on the replicability of results by other researchers. To achieve this aim, authors are expected to make available a complete set of the data used as well as any specialised computer programs employed through a readily accessible medium, preferably in a machine-readable form. The use of microcomputers in applied research and transferability of data is emphasised. The Journal also features occasional sections of short papers re-evaluating previously published papers. The intention of the Journal of Applied Econometrics is to provide an outlet for innovative, quantitative research in economics which cuts across areas of specialisation, involves transferable techniques, and is easily replicable by other researchers. Contributions that introduce statistical methods that are applicable to a variety of economic problems are actively encouraged. The Journal also aims to publish review and survey articles that make recent developments in the field of theoretical and applied econometrics more readily accessible to applied economists in general.