癌症筛查有效还是有害?

Mohammad Esmaeil Akbari
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摘要

乳房x光检查曾经是一种被广泛接受的观念,现在却受到了发达国家研究的质疑,在某些情况下被认为是不合理的。尽管乍一看,筛检不能证明是有效的,似乎毫无意义,但在实践中,程序和策略是要重建的。例如,在伊朗,确诊的女性乳腺癌中有40%是局部发展或转移的。筛查此类癌症的主要问题是原发肿瘤大小、腋窝淋巴结状态、分期策略和筛查方案。事实上,通过癌症的早期检测,我们将不需要发达国家的高科技,而我们缺乏基础设施和资源,无法适当地使用这些技术来实现人口的充分覆盖。在我们之前的研究中,我们发现肿瘤大小和淋巴结状态是就诊最常见的症状,我们也得出结论,在许多国家筛查乳房x光检查并没有好处。虽然在第一轮检测中对约53%的癌症病例有效,但如果设备在全国各地都能随时获得,它在第二轮和第三轮的效率要低得多,这意味着一种无效的战略。因此,战略的转变似乎对卫生决策者至关重要,特别是在包括伊朗在内的国家。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cancer Screening, Effective or Harmful?
Once a widely accepted notion, mammography screening is now called into doubt, in some cases rendered unjustifiable, by studies in developed countries. In spite of the fact that screening cannot prove to be effective may seem meaningless at the first glance, in practice, the procedures and strategies are to be reconstructed. In Iran, for instance, 40% of diagnosed breast cancer in women are locally developed or metastatic. The main issues for screening such cancers are primary tumor size, axillary nodal status down staging strategy, and screening programs. In fact, by cancer early detection we will be needless of the high technology of the developed world, while we lack the infrastructure and resources to use the technology appropriately to achieve adequate coverage of the population. In our previous studies, we found that tumor size and nodal status are the most frequent symptoms for referring to clinics, also we concluded that screening mammography in many countries would not be beneficial. Although effective in the first round for detection of about 53% of the cancer cases, provided the equipment is readily available throughout the country, it is far less efficient in the second and third rounds which spells an ineffective strategy. Therefore, a shift in strategies seems essential for health decision makers especially in countries including Iran.
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