复工复产行为系统动力学演化博弈调控模型的构建与应用

Q. Hu, J. Qi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情“停工”后的复工复产,已成为许多企业和政府迫切需要解决的问题。复产实际上是一个从0到1(100%)的动态演化问题。本文构建了复产与政府扶持的一般博弈模型和动态复制系统,并给出了模型构建的定理。分析企业战略向“复产”战略趋同的演化机制和情景条件,以生猪养殖户复产为例,开展生猪复产对策调控研究,探索农户战略向“复产复产”战略快速趋同的系统性对策建议。研究发现,生产恢复行为系统动态演化博弈调控模型为研究恢复对策提供了系统的模型和方法,为恢复比率从0到1(100%)提供了通用的调控模型,为探索促进快速恢复生产的“精准策略”系统提供了系统的思路、方法和模型。©2023,中国科学出版社。版权所有。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Construction and Application of Work and Production Resuming Behavior System Dynamics Evolutionary Game Regulation and Control Model
The resumption of production after the "suspension” caused by the COVID-19 has emerged as an urgent problem for many enterprises and the government. The resumption of production is actually a dynamic evolution problem from 0 to 1 (100%). This paper constructs a general game model and a dynamic replication system for the resumption of production and government support, and gives theorems for the construction of the model. It analyzes the evolution mechanism and scenario conditions for the convergence of enterprise strategies to the "resumption of production” strategy, takes the resumption of production of hog farmers as an example to carry out a study on the regulation of countermeasures to resume hog production, and explores systemic countermeasures and suggestions for the rapid convergence of farmers' strategies to the "resumption of work and production” strategy. The study found that the production resuming behavior system dynamics evolution game regulation model provides a systematic model and method for the study of resumption countermeasures, a general regulation model for the resumption ratio from 0 to 1 (100%), and a systematic idea, method and model for exploring the "precise strategy” system to promote the rapid resumption of production. © 2023, Science Press (China). All rights reserved.
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CiteScore
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